Modeling

https://usclivar.org/research-highlights/understanding-effect-arctic-sea-ice-decline-atlantic-meridional-overturning
September 18, 2017

The Arctic sea ice decline may explain the suggested slow-down of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and the persistence of the Warming Hole.

Three-dimensional pathways of deep water upwelling from the Atlantic Ocean over Southern Ocean topography
August 16, 2017

A new study combines ocean observations with three state-of-the-art ocean models, revealing the full three-dimensional pathway of deep water to the surface of the Southern Ocean for the first time.

modeling hindcasts and projections of sea level rise and overturning circulation
August 4, 2017

A new study helps clarify how past and future coastal sea level changes are related to local winds and large-scale ocean circulation.

map showing anomalies in SST and total soil water
August 1, 2017

Researchers have developed a state-of-the-art drought and wildfire prediction system, showing the multi-year predictive skills of drought and wildfire conditions beyond the typical timescale of seasonal climate forecast models. 

Differences between preindustrial (left) and LGM (right) ocean circulation
July 26, 2017

A recent study investigates the drivers of changes in deep ocean circulation across a range of modern and Last Glacial Maximum (~21000 years ago) climate modeling simulations, revealing biases in Antarctic sea ice formation. 

Monthly changes strength of the zonal flow
July 6, 2017

Looking at modeling simulations, researchers explore how various characteristics of the mid-latitude atmospheric circulation evolve over the 21st-century and find that changes are sector-dependent.

Ocean Circulation Plays an Important Role in Absorbing Carbon from the Atmosphere, NASA GSFC
June 29, 2017

NASA and MIT scientists found that gases are more easily absorbed over time than heat. As the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) slows down, the ocean absorbs less of both atmospheric gases and heat, though its ability to absorb heat is more greatly reduced.

Precipitation differences between the positive and negative AMV
June 14, 2017

A multi-model simulation study shows that Atlantic Multidecadal Variability warming drives a modification of the Walker Circulation that creates precipitation anomalies over the whole tropical belt. 

Probability density functions of equilibrium climate sensitivity
April 24, 2017

Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) — defined as the near-surface air temperature change that would eventually result from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 — is a key metric of climate change. New findings suggest that the value of ECS estimated from global energy budget constraints is actually in agreement with values derived from other methods and simulated by global climate models.

Time series of eastern Indian Ocean thermocline depth in an ocean model hindcast
March 1, 2017

In a new paper from Journal of Climate, researchers show that changes in the Indian Ocean subsurface heat content over the last 50 years can be linked to Pacific Ocean variability associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation/Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation.

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