Prediction and Predictability

The current generation of climate models represents a significant advancement in sophistication over the previous generation. Improvements include increases in spatial and temporal resolution and better representation of physical processes. These improvements should lead to improvements in the quality of predictions and projections, but it is important that techniques are developed to critically assess these improvements in order to build the confidence in users and to identify the most likely targets for future investments. 

Climate Forecast Links

• IRI Climate Forecast Products

• NOAA CPC Monthly Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks

• NOAA CPC Seasonal Temperature and Precipitation Outlooks

• NOAA CPC ENSO Diagnostic Discussion

• NOAA North American Multi-Model Ensemble
• NOAA US Drought Assessment

• NASA GMAO Experimental Predictions

• US Drought Monitor Forecasts
• CFS Forecast of Seasonal Climate Anomalies

• ECMWF Forecasts

• Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction Project (S2S)