Decadal Predictability Working Group
The US CLIVAR Decadal Predictability Working Group was formed in January 2009 and concluded in 2011.
Their scientific objectives were to:
- Define a framework to distinguish natural decadal variability from anthropogenically-forced variability and to quantify their relative magnitude.
- Develop a framework for understanding decadal variability through metrics that can be used as a strategy to assess and validate decadal climate predictions simulations.
Members of the working group have published a paper in Climate Dynamics entitled “A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal prediction experiments.”
| Lisa Goddard, co-chair | Columbia University/International Research Institute for Climate and Society |
| Arun Kumar, co-chair | NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction |
| Amy Solomon, co-chair | University of Colorado |
| George Boer | Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis |
| Jim Carton | University of Maryland |
| Tom Delworth | NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory |
| Clara Deser | National Center for Atmospheric Research |
| Tom Fricker | University of Exeter, UK |
| Ichiro Fukumori | NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory |
| Arthur Greene | Columbia University/International Research Institute for Climate and Society |
| Ed Hawkins | University of Reading, UK |
| Gabi Hegerl | University of Edinburgh, UK |
| Ben Kirtman | University of Miami |
| Yochanan Kushnir | Columbia University/Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory |
| Jerry Meehl | National Center for Atmospheric Research |
| Rym Msadek | NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory |
| Matt Newman | University of Colorado |
| Doug Smith | UK Met Office |
| Tim Stockdale | European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasting |
| Rowan Sutton | University of Reading, UK |
| Dan Vimont | University of Wisconsin |