US Climate Variability and Predictability Program

US CLIVAR Climate Variability and Predictability Program

Who We Are

US CLIVAR is a national research program with a mission to foster understanding and prediction of climate variability and change on intraseasonal-to-centennial timescales, through observations and modeling with emphasis on the role of the ocean and its interaction with other elements of the Earth system, and to serve the climate community and society through the coordination and facilitation of research on outstanding climate questions.

Our Research

The ocean plays a key role in providing a major long-term "memory" for the climate system, generating or enhancing variability on a range of climatic timescales. Understanding the ocean's role in climate variability is therefore crucial for quantifying and harnessing the predictability inherent to the Earth system. US CLIVAR-led research has played a substantial role in advancing understanding of, and skill in predicting climate variability and change.

Science and Research Challenges

Cracked earth

Subseasonal-to-
Seasonal Prediction

Forest

Decadal Variability
and Predictability

Flooding in neighborhood

Climate Change

Tornado and lightning

Climate and Extreme
Events

Ice in polar landscape

Polar Climate Changes

Fish swimming undersea

Climate and Marine
Carbon/Biogeochemistry

Coast with cliffs and waves

Climate at the Coasts

Announcements

Reanalysis Workshop flyer

Abstract submission form now open

Submit your abstract for a poster presentation at the 2022 Workshop on Future US Earth System Reanalysis. Deadline for submissions is February 4, 2022.

Variations cover

Variations: Improving the value of climate data and models for assessing climate impacts and policies

The latest edition of Variations features five articles on improving the value of climate data and models for assessing climate impacts and informing decisions.

Ensemble forecast view, March 2020

Reopening of poster abstracts for the 2022 Multi-Year Workshop

Submit your abstract for a poster presentation at the 2022 US CLIVAR Workshop on Societally-Relevant Multi-Year Climate Predictions. Deadline for submissions is January 14, 2022.

Ecological Forecasting flyer

Abstract submission form now open

Submit your abstract for a poster presentation at the 2022 OCB/US CLIVAR Ecological Forecasting Workshop. Deadline for submissions is January 21, 2022.

Upcoming Webinars

Process Study Webinar Series

Date:
Title: Convective Processes Experiment - Aerosols & Winds (CPEX-AW)
Presenter(s):

Shuyi Chen, University of Washington
Ed Zipser, University of Utah

Predictability, Predictions, and Applications Interface Webinar Series

Date:
Title: A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
Presenter(s):

Doug Smith, UK Met Office

Variations Webinar Series

Date:
Title: Improving the Value of Climate Data and Models for Assessing Climate Impacts and Policies
Presenter(s):

Mona Behl, University of Georgia and American Meteorological Society Policy Program
Raphael Calel, Georgetown University and London School of Economics
Kristie L. Ebi, University of Washington
Derek Lemoine, University of Arizona, National Bureau of Economic Research, and Centre for Economic Policy Research
Charles F. Manski, Northwestern University
John Nielsen-Gammon, Texas A&M University
Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory and University of Washington

Pre-Summit Webinar Series

Date:
Title: Water Isotopes Working Group
Presenter(s):

Kim Cobb, Georgia Tech
David Noone, University of Auckland
Adriana Raudzens Bailey, NCAR