US Climate Variability and Predictability Program

Hurricane Resources



Relevant Links

AMS Journal Collection

WMO 7th International Workshop on Tropical cyclones (IWTC-VII)

GFDL Hurricane Portal

Jim Elsner Hurricane Climate page

The HURDAT reanalysis: access to a commonly used dataset

IBTrACS web page access to a global dataset


Working Group Publications

Kevin J.E. Walsh, Suzana J. Camargo, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Anne Sophie Daloz, James Elsner, Kerry Emanuel, Michael Horn, Young-Kwon Lim, Malcolm Roberts, Christina Patricola, Enrico Scoccimarro, Adam H. Sobel, Michael Wehner, Ming Zhao, James P. Kossin, Tim LaRow, Kazuyoshi Oouchi, Siegfried Schubert, Hui Wang, Julio Bacmeister, Ping Chang, Fabrice Chauvin, Christiane Jablonowski, Arun Kumar, Hiroyuki Murakami, Tomoaki Ose, Kevin A. Reed, R Saravanan, Y. Yamada, Colin M. Zarzycki, Pier Luigi Vidale, Jeffrey A. Jonas and Naomi Henderson, Hurricanes and climate: The U.S. CLIVAR working group on hurricanesBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Abstract . PDF (3000 KB)

Suzana J. Camargo, Michael K. Tippett, Adam H. Sobel, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Ming Zhao, Testing the Performance of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Indices in Future Climates Using the HiRAM ModelJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 24, pp. 9171–9196.

Abstract . PDF (5454 KB)

Anne S. Daloz, S. J. Camargo, J. P. Kossin, K. Emanuel, M. Horn, J.A. Jonas, D. Kim, T. LaRow, Y.-K. Lim, C.M. Patricola, M. Roberts, E. Scoccimarro, D. Shaevitz, P.L. Vidale, H. Wang, M. Wehner, M. Zhao, Cluster analysis of downscaled and explicitly simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks. Journal of Climate, early online release.
Abstract . PDF (3055 KB) 

James B. Elsner, Sarah E. Strazzo, Thomas H. Jagger, and Timothy LaRow, Sensitivity of Limiting Hurricane Intensity to SST in the Atlantic from Observations and GCMsJournal of Climate, Vol. 26, Iss. 16, pp. 5949-5957.
Abstract . PDF (852 KB)

Michael Horn, Kevin Walsh, Ming Zhao, Suzana J. Camargo, Enrico Scoccimarro, Hiroyuki Murakami, Hui Wang, Andrew Ballinger, Arun Kumar, Daniel A. Shaevitz, Jeffrey A. Jonas, Kazuyoshi Oouchi, Tracking Scheme Dependence of Simulated Tropical Cyclone Response to Idealized Climate SimulationsJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 24, pp. 9197–9213.
Abstract . PDF (16489 KB)

Young-Kwon Lim, Siegfried D. Schubert, Oreste Reale, Myong-In Lee, Andrea M. Molod, Max J. Suarez, Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclones to Parameterized Convection in the NASA GEOS5 Model. Journal of Climate, early online release.
Abstract . PDF (2277 KB) 

Wei Mei, Shang-Ping Xie, Ming Zhao, Variability of Tropical Cyclone Track Density in the North Atlantic: Observations and High-Resolution SimulationsJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 13, pp. 4781-4796.
Abstract .  PDF (5709 KB) . Supplemental Material 

Wei Mei, Shang-Ping Xie, Ming Zhao, Yuqing Wang, Forced and Internal Variability of Tropical Cyclone Track Density in the Western North Pacific. Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Iss. 1, pp. 143-167.
Abstract .  PDF (6141 KB) . Supplemental Material 

Hiroyuki Murakami, Pang-Chi Hsu, Osamu Arakawa, Tim Li, Influence of Model Biases on Projected Future Changes in Tropical Cyclone Frequency of OccurrenceJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 5, pp. 2159-2181.
Abstract . PDF (3126 KB)

Christina M. Patricola, R. Saravanan, Ping Chang, The Impact of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Meridional Mode on Seasonal Atlantic Tropical Cyclone ActivityJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 14, pp. 5311-5328.
Abstract . PDF (2137 KB) 

Malcolm J. Roberts, Pier Luigi Vidale, Matthew S. Mizielinski, Marie-Estelle Demory, Reinhard Schiemann, Jane Strachan, Kevin Hodges, Ray Bell, Joanne Camp, Tropical cyclones in the UPSCALE ensemble of high resolution global climate modelsJournal of Climate, early online release.
Abstract . PDF (7662 KB) 

Enrico Scoccimarro, Silvio Gualdi, Gabriele Villarini, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Ming Zhao, Kevin Walsh, Antonio Navarra, Intense Precipitation Events Associated with Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in Response to a Warmer Climate and Increased CO2Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 12, pp. 4642-4654.
Abstract . PDF (3473 KB) 

Daniel A. Shaevitz, Suzana J. Camargo, Adam H. Sobel, Jeffrey A. Jonas, Daehyun Kim, Arun Kumar, Timothy E. LaRow, Young-Kwon Lim, Hiroyuki Murakami, Kevin A. Reed, Malcolm J. Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Pier Luigi Vidale, Hui Wang, Michael F. Wehner, Ming Zhao and Naomi Henderson, Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high-resolution models in the present climate. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 06, pp. 1-19. 
AbstractPDF (1200 KB)

Sarah Strazzo, James B. Elsner, Timothy LaRow, Daniel J. Halperin, Ming Zhao, Observed versus GCM-Generated Local Tropical Cyclone Frequency: Comparisons Using a Spatial LatticeJournal of Climate, Vol. 26, No. 21, p. 8257-8268.
Abstract . PDF (1770 KB) 

Gabriele Villarini, David A. Lavers, Enrico Scoccimarro, Ming Zhao, Michael F. Wehner, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Thomas R. Knutson, Kevin A. Reed, Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall to Idealized Global-Scale ForcingsJournal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 12, pp. 4622-4641.
Abstract . PDF (3994 KB) . Supplemental Material 

Hui Wang, Lindsey Long, Arun Kumar, Wanqiu Wang, Jae-Kyung E. Schemm, Ming Zhao, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Timorhy E. LaRow, Young-Kwon Lim, Siegfried D. Schubert, Daniel A. Shaevitz, Suzana J. Camargo, Naomi Henderson, Daehyun Kim, Jeffrey A. Jonas, Kevin J. E. Walsh, How Well Do Global Climate Models Simulate the Variability of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Associated with ENSO? Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Iss. 15, pp. 5673-5692.
Abstract . PDF (2488 KB) 

Yohei Yamada, Masaki Satoh, Response of Ice and Liquid Water Paths of Tropical Cyclones to Global Warming Simulated by a Global Nonhydrostatic Model with Explicit Cloud MicrophysicsJournal of Climate, Vol. 26, Iss. 24, pp. 9931-9945.
Abstract . PDF (6566 KB)