US Climate Variability and Predictability Program

US CLIVAR Extremes Workshop Agenda

Berkeley, CA

Workshop Agenda


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Tuesday, Aug. 20th              Wednesday, Aug. 21st             Thursday, Aug. 22nd


Tuesday, August 20th

08:00Continental Breakfast
08:30Welcome & Introductions
Session 1: Data Invited Talks
08:40Kenneth Kunkel, NOAA CICS-NC/North Carolina State

"Meteorological Causes of Observed Extreme Precipitation Trends in the U.S."

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09:10Pavel Groisman, UCAR at NOAA NCDC

"The impact of data paucity and handling techniques on intense precipitation analyses"

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09:40Pardeep Pall, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

"Using large climate data sets for Probabilistic Weather-Event Attribution"

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Coffee Break
10:30Data Breakout Sessions (2 parallel)
Session 2: Statistics Invited Talks


Richard Grotjahn, University of California, Davis


"The why, how, and what of large scale meteorological pattern"

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Richard Katz, NCAR


"Statistical Methods for Relating Temperature Extremes to Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns"

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12:30Catered Lunch
Session 2: Statistics Invited Talks cont.


Francis Zwiers, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium

"Applications of extreme value theory in climate science

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02:00Robert Black, Georgia Institute of Technology

"Boreal Cool Season Temperature Regimes: Recent Trends and Low Frequency Mode Modulation"

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02:30Christopher Paciorek, University of California, Berkeley

"Analyzing trends and patterns in extreme precipitation in observations and models using statistical extreme value analysis"

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03:00Alexander Gershunov, University of California, San Diego/Scripps

"Diagnosing probability models for observed daily precipitation extremes"

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03:30Poster Session (Data and Statistics) with Coffee Break
04:30Statistics Breakout Sessions (2 parallel)
05:30End of Day 1
Collaborative Discussion Time
Hotel Shattuck Plaza (6:30 - 8:00 pm)


Wednesday, August 21st

08:00Continental Breakfast
Session 3: Synoptics/Dynamics Invited Talks
08:30Steven Feldstein, The Pennsylvania State University

"A methodology for examining the relationship between teleconnections and extreme precipitation"

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09:00Bill Gutowski, Iowa State University

"Understanding Synoptic Weather Yielding Extreme Daily Precipitation"

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09:30Shawn Milrad, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University

"On the synoptic-scale mechanisms of extreme precipitation events: The role of the anticyclone and a dynamically based event identification method"

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10:00Russ Schumacher, Colorado State University

"Wet weeks in the warm season: Patterns and processes supporting widespread multi-day heavy rainfall episodes"

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10:30Coffee Break
Session 3: Synoptics/Dynamics Invited Talks cont.
10:50Steve Vavrus, University of Wisconsin

"Relating Extreme Weather Events to Large-Scale Meteorological Patterns: Is the Glass Half Full or Half Empty?

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11:20Randall Dole, NOAA ESRL PSD

"The Making of An Extreme Event: Putting the Pieces Together"

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11:50Synoptics/Dynamics Breakout Sessions (2 parallel)
12:50Catered Lunch
Session 4. Modeling Invited Talks
02:00Noah Diffenbaugh, Stanford University
"Robust increases in severe thunderstorm environments in response to greenhouse forcing"
Slides not available online; Contact Noah Diffenbaugh for information
02:30Anthony Broccoli, Rutgers University

"Observed and Model Simulated Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Associated with Extreme Temperature Days over North America

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03:00Gary Lackmann, North Carolina State University

"Climate Change and Mesoscale and Synoptic-Scale Precipitation Events"

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03:30Poster Session (Synoptics/Dynamics and Modeling) with Coffee Break
04:30Modeling Breakout Sessions (2 parallel)
05:30End of Day 2
Extremes WG Meeting (by invitation)
Hotel Shattuck Plaza (6:00 - 8:00 pm)


Thursday, August 22nd

08:00Continental Breakfast
Reports and Discussion from Breakouts Sessions

Session 1: Data

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Session 2: Statistics

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10:00Coffee Break
Reports and Discussion from Breakouts Sessions cont.

Session 3: Synoptics/Dynamics

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Session 4: Modeling

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12:00Meeting Wrap-up



Poster Session (Data and Statistics)

Tuesday, 8/20 @ 3:30


Rick Lader, University of Alaska Fairbanks
"Evaluating daily reanalysis temperature and precipitation for Alaska"
Elizabeth Cassano, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
"Analysis of synoptic forcing for widespread surface temperature extremes across Alaska"
Brandon Fisel, Iowa State University
"Multi-Regime States and Extreme Behavior of Arctic Atmospheric Circulation"
Justin Glisan, Iowa State University
"A SOM-based approach for analyzing daily precipitation extremes over the North American Arctic"
Soyoung Jeon, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
"Analysis of Spatial Dependence Patterns in Precipitation Extremes"
Megan Kirchmeier, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Center for Climatic Research
"The use of probabilistic downscaling in relating local-scale extreme events to large-scale meteorological conditions"
Ken-Chung Ko, National Kaohsiung Normal University
"Circulation patterns for southern Taiwan’s summer monsoon rainfall during July to September"
Yun-Young Lee, Georgia Institute of Technology
"Extreme Temperature Regimes in association with two types of El Niño"
Bo Madsen, University of Copenhagen
"Comparison of Relationship between Weather Regimes and Precipitation in Observations and Models"
Diandong Ren, Curtin University
"Extreme precipitation events in AR5 models and implications for flash floods"
Deepti Singh, Stanford University
"Precipitation extremes over the continental United States in a transient, high-resolution, ensemble climate model experiment"

Poster Session (Synoptics/Dynamics and Modeling)

Wednesday, 8/21 @ 3:30


Laurie Agel, University of Massachusetts - Lowell
"Dynamical Analysis of Extreme Precipitation Events in the Northeast"
Bradford Barrett, U.S. Naval Academy
"Intraseasonal variability of large-scale meteorological patterns and tornado activity"
Benjamin Lintner, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
"Impact of land-atmosphere interactions on surface temperature distributions"
Chihhua Tsou, National Taiwan Normal University
"Role of Multi-scale Interaction in Tropical cyclones Eddy Kinetic Energy"
John Walsh, University of Alaska, Fairbanks
"Atmospheric circulation patterns associated with extreme events in Alaska"
Tereza Cavazos, Department of Physical Oceanography, CICESE
"Present and future daily precipitation extremes in the North American monsoon region"
Anthony DeAngelis, Rutgers University
"Evaluation of CMIP3 and CMIP5 Simulations of Heavy Precipitation and its Associated Physical Mechanisms over North America"
Sho Kawazoe, Iowa State University
"Regional, Very Heavy Daily Precipitation in Global and Regional Climate Simulations of North America"
Arun Kumar, NOAA / Climate Prediciton Center
"Do Extreme Climate Events Require Extreme Forcings?"
Paul Loikith, Caltech/JPL
"Evaluating Extreme Temperatures and Associated Mechanisms in NARCCAP Hindcast Experiments"