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Research Highlights Topic: Modeling

The impact of AMOC slowdown on marine heatwave duration estimated from CCSM4 simulations.
The weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation changes marine heatwaves
Section of Table 1 of Rugenstein and Armour 2021 describing three possibilities of defining radiative feedbacks and their applications.
The many different flavors of radiative feedbacks
Schematic showing the energy balance for the entire atmosphere north of 40°N in the climates with and without a vigorous AMOC.
Ocean circulation and extreme winter weather
Frequencies of co-occurrence of marine and terrestrial extreme events.
Will compound marine heatwave-drought events along the West Coast become more frequent in the future?
DJFM response of U700 in fully-coupled runs of SC-WACCM4, for ensemble members
How reproducible is the response to +2°C Arctic sea-ice loss in a large ensemble of simulations?
Schematic of long-term mean AMOC pathways overlapped with sections.
The anatomy of the long-term mean AMOC at northern high latitudes
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How does the Deep Western Boundary Current “leak”?
Time series of the Niño-3.4 SST index (°C) in observations (black curves) and ensemble-mean forecasts (colored curves) composited for 10 1-yr El Niño, 5 2-yr El Niño, 4 1-yr La Niña, 8 2-yr La Niña, 4 2-yr La Niña following strong El Niño, and 4 2-yr La Niña following moderate El Niño events during 1954–2015.
Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time
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Record-high Beaufort Sea freshwater content could alter local and global ocean circulations
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Contrasting recent and future changes in the Intertropical Convergence Zone
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