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Research Highlights Topic: Modeling

Comparing projections of multiple fire weather indices across the contiguous United States
Comparing projections of multiple fire weather indices across the contiguous United States
high-resolution global climate simulation ensembles highlights major advances in representing mesoscale convective systems (MCSs)
New high-resolution climate simulation ensembles highlight the importance of mesoscale dynamics in shaping future extreme precipitation
Figure 1. The 35-year trends of winter-spring sea surface temperature, precipitation, and sea level pressure. a, observation of 1980-2014. Model-simulated 35-year trends for pre-industrial climate grouped and averaged for b, the strongest El Niño-like trends and c, the strongest  La Niña-like trends. Model-simulated 35-year trends for 1980-2014  grouped and averaged for the ensemble members d, with the strongest El Niño-like trends and e, with the strongest La Niña-like trends.
Drivers of the Southwestern US precipitation decline
Adapted from Figures 6 and 11 of Chen et al. (2025). See full paper for more details and complete captions.
Small SST warm anomalies in Tropical Atlantic locally increase trade cumulus formation
Trend in SST and subsurface temperature for observation and Large Ensemble (LE) simulations
Why tropical Pacific subsurface cooling doesn't surface in climate models
A graph showing the onset of ENSO episodes
When models miss the mark: Two decades of low-skill predictions in ENSO phase transitions
Observed trends in zonal-mean TEMPAC over the period 1980-2022 for three different datasets and ocean basins
Enhanced and weakened annual cycle in the vertical fingerprint of ocean temperature
Global average sea surface temperature anomaly
Historical and projected changes in climate predictability
Scientific graphic that shows different plots of SST, SSS, MLD, and SSH
The upper ocean response to atmospheric rivers
The impact of AMOC slowdown on marine heatwave duration estimated from CCSM4 simulations.
The weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation changes marine heatwaves
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