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Research Highlights Topic: Modeling

ean 2014-2016 sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTa) in the Northeast Pacific
Diverse processes driving a heatwave’s evolution result in conditional forecast skill for the US West Coast
Estimates of interannual variability from new and published coral records from the northern Line Islands
How short-term Arctic warming can lead to delayed stratospheric circulation responses
Multi-model mean evolution of the Hadley cell edge (defined by streamfunction at 500 hPa) in the 1 percent CO2 increase simulations. Copyright AGU.
Swiftly shifting southward: CO2-forced tropical widening is larger in the Southern Hemisphere
Reconstruction of the weather on February 10, 1936 at 12 UTC
Reconstructing the past 200 years of global weather
Graph image
Governance of Long-Duration Floods
Boxplots showing how well model forecasts capture the observations between the two winter seasons, 2016–17 minus 2015–16
California winter precipitation linked to the Arctic Oscillation
Subsurface ocean heat content anomalies regressed onto low-pass filtered time series of eastern tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. The black boxes outline the eastern (10°–20°S, 100°–120°E) and western (10°–20°S, 50°–90°E) Indian Ocean, showing the east–west dipole structure.
Pacific influences decadal Indian Ocean heat content via two distinct mechanisms
linear model accounting for changes in drying ratio and mean source distance
Global patterns of evaporation and precipitation leave a traceable isotopic fingerprint
The Observational Large Ensemble (Obs-LE) can be used to assess the relative roles of internal variability and anthropogenic influence on 50-year trends in (a-b) temperature and (c-d) precipitation over land.
Developing Observational Large Ensembles for climate variability
Response in wintertime surface air temperature and surface wind to imposed RCP8.5 sea ice loss over the Barents-Kara sea
“Warm Arctic–Cold Siberia” pattern: The importance of the stratospheric circulation
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