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Research Highlights Topic: Modeling

Boxplots showing how well model forecasts capture the observations between the two winter seasons, 2016–17 minus 2015–16
California winter precipitation linked to the Arctic Oscillation
Subsurface ocean heat content anomalies regressed onto low-pass filtered time series of eastern tropical Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies. The black boxes outline the eastern (10°–20°S, 100°–120°E) and western (10°–20°S, 50°–90°E) Indian Ocean, showing the east–west dipole structure.
Pacific influences decadal Indian Ocean heat content via two distinct mechanisms
linear model accounting for changes in drying ratio and mean source distance
Global patterns of evaporation and precipitation leave a traceable isotopic fingerprint
The Observational Large Ensemble (Obs-LE) can be used to assess the relative roles of internal variability and anthropogenic influence on 50-year trends in (a-b) temperature and (c-d) precipitation over land.
Developing Observational Large Ensembles for climate variability
Response in wintertime surface air temperature and surface wind to imposed RCP8.5 sea ice loss over the Barents-Kara sea
“Warm Arctic–Cold Siberia” pattern: The importance of the stratospheric circulation
trends in the latitude of the (left) Northern Hemisphere and (right) Southern Hemisphere tropical edg
Can models capture the seasonality of the recent expansion of the tropics?
Megadrougth schematic and teleconnections
Volcanic eruptions interact with El Nino events, affecting sustained ‘megadrought’
Atmospheric river moisture transport to the West Coast of the US
Origins of atmospheric river moisture traced in model
Multiple model mean correlation maps between the 10-year low-pass filtered AMOC index and AMV-related variables
Underestimated AMOC variability in climate models has broad implications
Hurricane Harvey and Louisiana flood
Extreme event deja vu: Hurricane Harvey (2017) and Louisiana flood (2016)
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