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Research Highlights Topic: Modeling

Schematic of long-term mean AMOC pathways overlapped with sections.
The anatomy of the long-term mean AMOC at northern high latitudes
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How does the Deep Western Boundary Current “leak”?
Time series of the Niño-3.4 SST index (°C) in observations (black curves) and ensemble-mean forecasts (colored curves) composited for 10 1-yr El Niño, 5 2-yr El Niño, 4 1-yr La Niña, 8 2-yr La Niña, 4 2-yr La Niña following strong El Niño, and 4 2-yr La Niña following moderate El Niño events during 1954–2015.
Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time
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Record-high Beaufort Sea freshwater content could alter local and global ocean circulations
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Contrasting recent and future changes in the Intertropical Convergence Zone
Spatial distribution of two widespread precipitation events that occurred on 8 May 1995 and 13 September 1961 and geometric illustration of the extent of an SHPE on the ground.
Understanding the spatial structure of simultaneous heavy precipitation events over the conterminous United States
Global fields shown for different boreal winters and QBO phases
The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation modulates teleconnections of the Madden-Julian Oscillation
Sources of uncertainty in climate projections and their relative importance for different variables, regions and seasons
Large Ensemble model simulations help to better quantify sources of uncertainty in climate projections
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Tropical belt width proportionately more sensitive to aerosols than greenhouse gases
Zonally averaged multi-model average shortwave low cloud feedbacks
Latest Earth System Models predict more global warming than their predecessors
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