US Climate Variability and Predictability Program

ENSO

Time series of the Niño-3.4 SST index (°C) in observations (black curves) and ensemble-mean forecasts (colored curves) composited for 10 1-yr El Niño, 5 2-yr El Niño, 4 1-yr La Niña, 8 2-yr La Niña, 4 2-yr La Niña following strong El Niño, and 4 2-yr La Niña following moderate El Niño events during 1954–2015.
Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time
Six US maps with color modeling
US precipitation modulated by MJO-ENSO teleconnection interference
Estimates of interannual variability from new and published coral records from the northern Line Islands
Coral reconstructions of central tropical Pacific climate suggest a 25% increase in recent El Niño Southern Oscillation intensity
Boxplots showing how well model forecasts capture the observations between the two winter seasons, 2016–17 minus 2015–16
California winter precipitation linked to the Arctic Oscillation
SST anomalies in the boreal winter
Increasing coupling of Pacific dynamics leads to prolonged marine heatwaves
Megadrougth schematic and teleconnections
Volcanic eruptions interact with El Nino events, affecting sustained ‘megadrought’
Changes in SST variance of ENSO
Is El Niño really changing?
Observed ocean-atmosphere anomaly patterns multi-year La Niña event
Impact and predictability of multi-year La Niña events
modes of the Hadley cell and ENSO
Finding parallels between Hadley Cell expansion and the global warming hiatus
Monthly SST anomalies 1920–2016
The complex relationship between El Niño and the California Current System
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