2015 US CLIVAR Summit Agenda

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Agenda

Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:30

Refreshments/Check-In

08:00 Welcome, introductions, meeting objectives, and outcomes Bob Weller Download
08:15 Updates on research challenges Mike Patterson Download
08:45 International CLIVAR Detlef Stammer Download
09:25

Break

09:45 to 12:00

Special Science Session: ENSO Monitoring, Analysis, and Prediction

Conveners: Bruce Anderson, Arun Kumar, & Yan Xue

09:45 Introduction Arun Kumar Download
10:00 ENSO theory & predictability Mike McPhaden Download
10:30 Building the bridge between ENSO theories & operational predictions Ben Kirtman Download
11:00 ENSO precursors & building an operational ENSO monitoring system Bruce Anderson Download
11:30 Facilitated discussion Yan Xue
12:00

Lunch on your own

13:15 Agency manager engagement
  • Sandy Lucas (NOAA)
  • Anjuli Bamzi (NSF)
  • Alberto Mestas Nuñez (NSF)
  • Eric Lindstrom (NASA, remote)
  • Renu Joseph (DOE, remote)
  • Scott Harper/Dan Eleuterio (ONR, remote)
14:00 to 15:30

Panel breakouts (see details below)

  • Phenomena, Observations, & Synthesis (POS)
  • Process Study & Model Improvement (PSMI)
  • Predictability, Predictions, & Applications Interface (PPAI)
15:30

Break

15:50 Panel breakouts continue
17:00

Break

17:30 to 20:00

Special Science Session & Working Dinner: Warming Hiatus

Conveners: Janet Sprintall & Dimitris Menemenlis

Video highlights from the session by Simon Wang

18:00 Introduction: Understanding the Earth's Climate Warming Hiatus Janet Sprintall Download
18:15 Lack of evidence for a slowdown in global temperature John Abraham Download
18:30 Pacific causes Shang-Ping Xie Download
18:45 Deep ocean warming Sarah Purkey Download
19:00 Atlantic/Southern Ocean perspective KK Tung
19:15 Sensitivity to factors underlying the hiatus Kate Marvel Download
19:15 Sensitivity to factors underlying the hiatus Kate Marvel
19:30 Facilitated discussion
Wednesday, August 5, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:30

Refreshments

08:00 Panel breakouts (see details below)
10:00

Break

10:30 Breakouts resume
12:00

Lunch on your own

13:30 Breakouts resume
15:10

Break

15:30 Breakouts resume
17:30

Break for day; dinner on your own

Thursday, August 6, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:30

Refreshments

08:00 Panel breakouts continue
10:00

Break

10:20

Panel breakout reports

10:20 POS Breakout Summary Download
10:40 PSMI Breakout Summary Download
11:00 PPAI Breakout Summary Download
11:20 Conclusion & next steps Sonya Legg Download
12:00

Summit adjourns

12:15 to 13:30 SSC post-Summit meeting

POS Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
14:00 to 15:30

Joint POS/PSMI Session on TPOS 2020

14:00 Overview of TPOS 2020 Billy Kessler Download
14:15 Reporting on SPURS II Fred Bingham Download
14:30 Evaluating Tropical Pacific observing systems using OSEs Yan Xue Download
14:45 Perspectives on ENSO Diversity WG Antonietta Capotondi Download
15:00 Discussion
15:30

Break

15:50 to 17:00

Session 1: Sustaining Ocean Observing Systems

15:50 Tropical moored arrays in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans (PIRATA and RAMA) Renellys Perez, Kyla Drushka Download
16:05 Argo and XBT Fred Bingham, Kyla Drushka Download
16:20 GO-SHIP Lynne Talley Download
16:40 Discussion
17:00 to 17:30

Break before working dinner

Wednesday, August 5, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Session II: Syntheses of Climate Parameters

08:00 Surface heat fluxes and ocean heat content budget Carol Anne Clayson, Kyla Drushka Download
08:30 Need for sustained and improved ocean observations and synthesis for global water cycle studies Subra Bulusu
08:50 Near-surface salinity dynamics Kyla Drushka, Fred Bingham Download
09:10 CLIVAR GSPO and GODAE OceanView Ocean Reanalysis Intercomparison Project (ORA-IP) Yan Xue, Xiaosong Yang Download
09:40 Discussion
10:00

Break

10:30 to 12:00

Session III: Understanding of Climate Variations and Impacts, Part I

10:30 ENSO diversity and impacts Antonietta Capotondi, Xiaosong Yang Download
10:50 PDO/NPGO and interactions with ENSO Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Art Miller Download
11:10 Report on "Blob Workshop" Art Miller Download
11:30 Discussion
12:00

Lunch on your own

13:30 to 15:10

Joint POS/PPAI Session on Predictability of Coastal/Shelf Systems, Including Ecosystems

13:30 Introduction Enrique Curchitser Download
13:35 Anticipated effects of climate change on marine ecosystems Art Miller Download
14:05 Processes affecting marine ecosystems in the North Pacific Manu Di Lorenzo Download
14:20 Exploiting ENSO predictability in forecasting marine ecosystem changes along the US West Coast Kris Karnauskas Download
14:35 Discussion
15:10

Break

15:30 to 17:30

Session III: Understanding of Climate Variations and Impacts, Part II

15:30 AMOC/AMO and ATLANTOS Overview Renellys Perez Download
15:50 The MJO and other Indian Ocean science (ASRIR, NASCAR, IIOE-2, YMC) Kyla Drushka Download
16:20 Arctic climate Jin-Ho Yoon Download
16:40 Southern Ocean Joellen Russell
17:00 Discussion
Thursday, August 6, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

POS Panel Summary and Plan

08:00 Sustaining ocean observing systems Fred Bingham
08:30 Syntheses of climate parameters Yan Xue
09:00 Understanding of climate variations and impacts Kyla Drushka
09:30 Future plan Art Miller
10:00

Break and return to plenary

PSMI Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
14:00 to 15:30

Joint POS/PSMI Session on TPOS 2020

View the POS agenda above for details

15:30

Break

15:50 to 17:00

Evaluation of new reporting mode (Process Studies & CPT)

15:50 Follow-up on SPURS I Fred Bingham, Tom Farrar Download
16:05 Discussion: Pros/cons from webinar (YMC/DYNAMO) vs in-person (SPURS I/II) Gad Levy, Caroline Ummenhofer
16:20 Discussion: Reporting template Maria Flatau
16:35 Discussion: Lessons learned & planning for reporting webinars for process studies Aneesh Subramanian
17:00 to 17:30

Break before working dinner

Wednesday, August 5, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Implementing Process Understanding in Models

08:00 Overview of implementation/pathway document Jin Huang Download
08:20 Research-to-operations transition of process understanding to operational model development Jin Huang Download
08:40 Overview of feedback from process study survey Caroline Ummenhofer Download
09:00 Discussion: How to establish pathways/processes for implementing process understanding into models Steve Penny
09:40 Discussion: How can the CPT workshop accommodate this Aneesh Subramanian
10:00

Break

10:30 to 12:00

Joint PSMI/PPAI Session on Quantifying Improvements in Prediction/Projections

10:30 Quantifying uncertainties and improvements in prediction Arun Kumar Download
10:45 Ocean predictability - research needs, gaps, recent advances Steve Penny  Download
11:00 Discussion
12:00

Lunch on your own

13:30 to 15:10

Discussion of Issues Arising from Special Science Sessions

13:30 ENSO Kris  Karnauskas Download
13:50 Warming hiatus Beate Liepert Download
14:10 Discussion Gad Levy
15:10 Break
15:30 to 17:30

PSMI Panel Business

15:30 Overview of gaps in process studies from survey Caroline Ummenhofer
15:45 Discussion: Gaps in existing process studies: How to approach gaps via top-down or bottom-up? Tom Farrar
16:15 Discussion: PSMIP contributions in light of US CLIVAR Science Plan Alessandra Giannini
17:00 Revisit Terms of Reference & role of PSMIP Gad Levy, Caroline Ummenhofer
Thursday, August 6, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

PSMI Panel Discussion

08:00 Collate summaries from session leads for final report & Panel co-chair presentation
10:00

Break and return to plenary

PPAI Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 4, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
14:00 to 15:30

PPAI Breakout Session

14:00 PPAI Business Gregg Garfin, Kathy Pegion Download
14:15 ENSO monitoring, analysis, and prediction challenges Arun Kumar, Bruce Anderson
15:30

Break

15:50 to 17:00

Systems Sensitive to Decadal Variations

15:50 Presentations Bruce Anderson, Andrea Ray Download
16:30 Discussion
17:00

Break before working dinner

Wednesday, August 5, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Climate and Extreme Events: Dynamics and Predictability

08:00 Subseasonal predictability and prediction Kathy Pegion  Download
08:30 Sub-seasonal prediction of tropical cyclones Hyemi Kim Download
09:00 Warm season precipitation and extremes Scott Weaver  Download
09:30 Warm season predictions and projections: What do we need from a physical modeling perspective Chris Castro Download
10:00

Break

10:30 to 12:00

Joint PSMI/PPAI Session on Quantifying Improvements in Prediction/Projections

View the PSMI agenda above for details

12:00

Lunch on your own

13:30 to 15:10

Joint POS/PPAI Session on Predictability of Coastal/Shelf Systems Including Ecosystems

View the POS agenda above for details

15:10

Break

15:30 to 17:30

Applications Interface

15:30 Connecting priorities between PPAI's Predictions & Projections and Communicating Climate Information Activities Gregg Garfin, Simon Wang,  Arun Kumar Download
16:30 Evaluation of US CLIVAR Research Andrea Ray,  Gregg Garfin Download
17:00 Strategy for facilitating interactions between climate intermediaries and US CLIVAR Andrea Ray,  Gregg Garfin Download
Thursday, August 6, 2015
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

PPAI Panel Discussion

08:00 Breakout wrap-up and highlights Gregg Garfin,  Kathy Pegion
10:00

Break and return to plenary