2017 US CLIVAR Summit Agenda
See Breakout sessions: POS Panel | PSMI Panel | PPAI Panel
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:30 |
Check-in/Breakfast |
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08:00 | Welcome |
Mike Patterson (US CLIVAR), Sonya Legg (Princeton U.) |
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08:25 | International CLIVAR | Annalisa Bracco (Georgia Tech) | Download |
08:50 | Agency manager engagement |
Eric Lindstrom (NASA), Sandy Lucas (NOAA), Eric Itsweire (NSF), Renu Joseph (DOE) |
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09:30 |
Break |
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10:00 |
Special session: Advances & challenges in understanding & predicting climate teleconnections |
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10:00 | Introduction |
Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech), Dan Vimont (U. Wisconsin) |
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10:05 | High-latitude teleconnection to tropical mean climate: Observations vs. models |
Alyssa Atwood (Georgia Tech/U. California-Berkeley) |
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10:25 | Teleconnections & regional impacts under anthropogenic forcing | Daniel Swain (U. California-Los Angeles) | Download |
10:45 | ENSO diversity, teleconnections and impacts | Antonietta Capotondi (NOAA Earth System Research Lab.) | Download |
11:05 | Methods to quantify uncertainty in coupled climate models teleconnections | Samantha Stevenson (NCAR) | Download |
11:25 | Facilitated discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agendas below) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agenda below) |
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17:00 |
Break |
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17:45 |
Special session: Polar ocean & sea ice interactions |
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17:45 | Introduction | Sonya Legg (Princeton U.) | |
17:50 | Recent changes in Arctic sea ice and ocean circulation | Ron Kwok (NASA Jet Propulsion Lab.) | Download |
18:10 | An Arctic Ocean in transition | Julienne Stroeve (U. College London/ National Snow and Ice Data Center) | Download |
18:30 | Improving our understanding of Antarctic sea ice with NASA's Operation IceBridge and the upcoming ICESat-2 mission | Alek Petty (U. Maryland/NASA Goddard Space Flight Center) | Download |
18:50 | What processes drive Southern Ocean sea ice variability and trends? | Aaron Donohoe (U. Washington) | Download |
19:10 | Facilitated discussion | ||
19:45 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:30 |
Check-in/Breakfast |
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08:00 |
Plenary session: Coupled data assimilation & reanalysis |
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08:00 | Introduction |
Tony Lee, NASA JPL |
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08:05 | What we need from observations and modelers to make coupled data assimilation the new standard for prediction and reanalysis |
Steve Penny, U. Maryland/NOAA NCEP |
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08:35 | Facilitated discussion | ||
09:45 |
Break |
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10:00 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agenda below) |
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12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agenda below) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agenda below) |
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17:30 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:30 |
Check-in/Breakfast |
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08:00 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agenda below) |
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10:00 |
Break |
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10:30 | Panel breakout reports (20 mins/each) | ||
10:30 | POS Panel Report |
Renellys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech) |
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10:50 | PSMI Panel Report |
Kris Karnauskas (U. Colorado-Boulder), Maria Flatau (Naval Research Lab.) |
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11:10 | PPAI Panel Report | Emily Becker (NOAA CPC) | Download |
11:30 | Conclusions and next steps |
Sonya Legg, Princeton U. |
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12:00 |
Summit adjourns |
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12:15 |
SSC Post-Summit Meeting |
POS Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 | POS Panel business
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Renellys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech) |
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14:00 |
Teleconnections |
Co-chairs: Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech), Samantha Stevenson (NCAR) |
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14:00 | Recent observed changes or insights in teleconnection dynamics |
Alyssa Atwood (Georgia Tech/U. California-Berkeley) |
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14:20 | Advancing the representation of teleconnections in climate models |
Samantha Stevenson (NCAR) |
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14:40 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Observational and synthesis requirements for characterizing contemporary sea level rise and predictability |
Co-chairs: Aneesh Subramanian (Scripps), Shane Elipot (U. Miami), John Nielsen-Gammon (Texas A&M) |
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15:30 | Reports from the WCRP/IOC sea level 2017 conference |
Nadya Vinogradova (Cambridge Climate Institute) |
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15:50 | Global perspective |
Eric Leuliette (NOAA NESDIS) |
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16:10 | Regional and coastal perspective |
Mark Merrifield (U. Hawaii) |
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16:30 | Stakeholder perspective |
Matt Campo (Rutgers U.) |
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16:50 | Discussion | ||
17:00 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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10:00 |
High-latitude circulation, ocean-sea ice interface |
Co-chairs: Jamie Morison (U. Washington), Janet Sprintall (Scripps) |
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10:00 | Southern Ocean SOCCOM review |
Alison Gray (U. Washington) |
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10:15 | Biogeochemistry in the Southern Ocean |
Taka Ito (Georgia Tech) |
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10:30 | Arctic Ocean effects on global climate |
Jamie Morison (U. Washington) |
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10:45 | Discussion | ||
11:00 |
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation |
Co-chairs: Renellys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML), Greg Foltz (NOAA AOML), Victoria Coles (U. Maryland) |
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11:00 | What we’ve learned from the AMOC observational network about AMOC processes and its role in weather and climate |
Shane Elipot (U. Miami) |
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11:20 | What we’ve learned from AMOC modeling efforts about AMOC processes and its role in weather and climate |
Rong Zhang (NOAA GFDL) |
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11:40 | Discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Health of the climate observing system, Part 1 |
Co-chairs: Carol Anne Clayson (WHOI), Fred Bingham (U. North Carolina-Wilmington) |
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13:30 | Tropical ocean |
Renellys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML) |
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13:50 | Subtropical ocean |
Carol Anne Clayson (WHOI), Fred Bingham (U. North Carolina-Wilmington) |
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14:10 | Polar ocean |
Jamie Morison (U. Washington) |
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14:30 | Coastal ocean |
Victoria Coles (U. Maryland) |
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14:50 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Health of the climate observing system, Part 2 |
Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U. Washington), Alison Macdonald (WHOI) |
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15:30 | Atmospheric, troposphere/stratosphere interactions |
Yolande Serra (U. Washington) |
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15:50 | Air-sea interface from satellite observations |
Kyla Drushka (U. Washington), Carol Anne Clayson (WHOI) |
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16:10 | Surface mixed layer and upper ocean |
Greg Foltz (NOAA AOML) |
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16:30 | Intermediate and deep ocean |
Gregory Johnson (NOAA PMEL) |
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16:50 | Discussion | ||
17:30 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 | POS Panel business (recap & future directions)
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Co-chairs: Renelys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML), Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech) |
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10:00 |
Break (return to plenary) |
PSMI Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 | PSMI Panel business |
Kris Karnauskas (U. Colorado-Boulder), Maria Flatau (Naval Research Lab.) |
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14:00 |
Teleconnections |
Co-chairs: Kris Karnauskas (U. Colorado-Boulder), Simon Wang (Utah State U.), Muyin Wang (U. Washington/NOAA PMEL) |
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14:00 | Summary of Arctic-Midlatitude workshop/white paper |
Judah Cohen (AER) |
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14:15 | Discussion | ||
14:25 | Global warming influence on extreme events |
Daniel Swain (U. California-Los Angeles) |
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14:33 | Tropical impact - ENSO signature |
Antonietta Capotondi (NOAA ESRL) |
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14:40 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 | PSMI Panel business |
Kris Karnauskas (U. Colorado-Boulder), Maria Flatau (Naval Research Lab.) |
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17:00 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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10:00 |
High-latitude circulation, ocean-sea ice interface |
Co-chairs: Jamie Morison (U. Washington), Janet Sprintall (Scripps) |
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11:00 |
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation |
Co-chairs: Renellys Perez (U. Miami/NOAA AOML), Greg Foltz (NOAA AOML), Victoria Coles (U. Maryland) |
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12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Tropical Pacific Observing Systems (TPOS) 2020 |
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13:30 | TPOS and Process Studies |
Billy Kessler (NOAA PMEL) |
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14:00 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Decadal Variability: 5-year-ahead scale for water and other sectors |
Co-chairs: Rob Burgman (Florida International U.), Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U.) |
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15:30 | Decadal climate prediction in CMIP6 |
Rob Burgman (Florida International U.) |
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15:45 | Decadal variability and potential predictability in the Atlantic |
Rong Zhang (NOAA GFDL) |
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16:00 | Pacific decadal variability |
Emanuele Di Lorenzo (Georgia Tech) |
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16:15 | High-resolution climate modeling: A tool to study extreme weather on decadal timescales |
Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U.) |
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16:30 | The role of ocean eddies in decadal predictability in the North Atlantic |
Ben Kirtman (U. Miami) |
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16:45 | Towards the application of decadal climate predictions in water management |
Erin Towler (NCAR) |
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17:00 | Discussion | ||
17:30 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 |
Stratosphere |
Chair: Maria Flatua (Naval Research Lab.) |
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08:00 | Introduction |
Maria Flatau (Naval Research Lab.) |
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08:05 | Using the stratosphere for extended range prediction |
John McCormack (Naval Research Lab.) |
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08:35 | Stratospheric observations, processes, and reanalysis |
Craig Long (NOAA CPC) |
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09:05 | Discussion | ||
09:30 | Panel wrap-up |
Kris Karnauska (U. Colorado-Boulder), Maria Flatau (Naval Research Lab.) |
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10:00 |
Break (return to plenary) |
PPAI Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 | PPAI Panel business | Simon Wang (Utah State U.), Emily Becker (NOAA CPC) | |
14:00 |
Teleconnections |
Co-chairs: Kris Karnauskas (U. Colorado-Boulder), Simon Wang (Utah State U.), Muyin Wang (U. Washington/NOAA PMEL) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Observational and synthesis requirements for characterizing contemporary sea level rise and predictability |
Co-chairs: Aneesh Subramanian (Scripps), Shane Elipot (U. Miami), John Nielsen-Gammon (Texas A&M) |
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17:00 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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10:00 |
Subseasonal-to-seasonal session, Part 1: extremes and predictability |
Co-chairs: Chris Castro (U. Arizona), Andy Wood (NCAR) |
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10:00 | S2S Task Force |
Paul Dirmeyer (George Mason U.) |
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10:20 | Current and future S2S modeling strategies |
Surajana Saha (NOAA NCEP) |
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10:40 | Discussion | ||
11:00 | Contributions of noise versus forcings to seasonal anomalies during droughts |
Arun Kumar (NOAA CPC) |
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11:20 | Statistical modeling of climate-extreme linkages |
Balaji Rajagopalan (U. Colorado-Boulder) |
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11:40 | Predictability of flooding extremes |
Marty Ralph (Scripps) |
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12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:30 |
Subseasonal-to-seasonal, Part 2: climate-ocean linkage with fishery and marine ecosystems |
Chair: Enrique Curchitser (Rutgers U.) |
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13:30 | Seasonal climate predictions for marine resource management: progress and challenges |
Charlie Stock (NOAA GFDL) |
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14:15 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Decadal Variability: 5-year-ahead scale for water and other sectors |
Co-chairs: Rob Burgman (Florida International U.), Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U.) |
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17:30 |
Break |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 |
CMIP6 horizon |
Chair: Scott Weaver (Environmental Defense Fund) |
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08:00 | NA-CORDEX: Overview and data availability |
Chris Castro (U. Arizona) |
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08:15 | The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation, and Climate Services (VIACS) Advisory Board for CMIP6: A bridge between modeling and applications |
Alex Ruane (NASA GISS) |
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08:30 | Decadal prediction aspects of CMIP6 |
Rob Burgman (Florida International U.) |
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08:45 | The half a degree additional warming, prognosis, and projected impacts (HAPPI): Background and experiment design |
Scott Weaver (Environmental Defense Fund) |
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09:00 | Discussion | ||
09:30 | Panel wrap-up |
Simon Wang (Utah State U.), Emily Becker (NOAA CPC) |
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10:00 |
Break (return to plenary) |