US CLIVAR Hurricane Workshop Agenda
Workshop Agenda
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Wednesday, June 5th
8:30 am – US CLIVAR Hurricane WG: How we got here - where are we going? Gabriel Vecchi Talk
9:00 am – Characteristics of tropical cyclones in high-resolution models of the present climate, by Daniel A. Shaevitz, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel and the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Talk
9:30 am – Response of global tropical cyclone frequency to a doubling of CO2 and a uniform SST warming – a multi-model intercomparison, by Ming Zhao, G. Vecchi, E. Scoccimarro, S. Gualdi, H. Wang, A. Kumar, Y.-K. Lim, and S. Schubert Talk
10:00 am – Coffee Break
10:30 am – Response of downscaled tropical cyclones to climate forcing: Results and interpretation, by Kerry Emanuel Talk
11:00 am – Cluster analysis of explicitly and downscaled simulated North Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks, by A.S. Daloz, Suzana J. Camargo, J. Kossin, K. Emanuel, and US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Talk
11:30 am – A comparison of observed and model-generated tropical cyclone climatologies using a spatial lattice, by Sarah Strazzo, J.B. Elsner, T. LaRow, and M. Zhao Talk
12:00 pm – Lunch
1:00 pm – Projected changes in the seasonal cycle of tropical cyclones, by John G. Dwyer, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel, M. Biasutti, K.A. Emanuel, G.A. Vecchi, and M. Zhao Talk
1:30 pm – Warming sea-surface temperature raises the bar for tropical cyclogenesis, by Jenni Evans Talk
2:00 pm – North Atlantic hurricane potential intensity in CMIP5 models: Anthropogenic forcing versus Atlantic multi-‐decadal variability, Mingfang Ting, S.J. Camargo and Y. Kushnir Talk
2:30 pm – On the relationship between potential intensity and CAPE, by Stephen Garner Talk
3:00pm – Coffee Break
3:30 pm – Discussion
4:00 pm – Dynamic hurricane prediction with the NCEP CFS CGCM, by Jae-K. E. Schemm and L. Long Talk
4:30 pm – Uncertainties in future changes in tropical cyclone activity projected by multi-‐physics and multi-SST ensemble experiments, by Hiroyuki Murakami Talk
5:00 pm – Tropical cyclone characteristics in response to different cumulus convective activity in a high-resolution climate model, by Young-Kwon Lim and S. Schubert Talk
6:30 pm – 8:00 pm: Reception at Salt Creek Grille with appetizers and beverages
Thursday, June 6th
8:30 am – Dynamical downscaling of tropical cyclone activity: An update on the use of the GFDL Hurricane model in multiple basins, by Thomas R. Knutson Talk
9:00 am – Tropical cyclone simulation and response to CO2 doubling in GFDL CM2.5 high-resolution coupled model, by Hyeong-Seog Kim, G. Vecchi, T.R. Knutson, T.L. Delworth, and M. Zhao Talk
9:30 am - Tropical cyclone studies with a hierarchy of climate model resolutions from the UPSCALE project, by Malcolm Roberts, M. Mizielinski, J. Strachan, P.L. Vidale, M.E. Demory, and R. Schiemann Talk
10:00 am – Coffee Break
10:30 am – Hurricane simulations in a regional climate model, by R. Saravanan, C.M. Patricola and P. Chang Talk
11:00 am – Tropical cyclone simulations in the very high-resolution global climate models, Cheng-Ta Chen, T.-P. Tzeng, M. Wehner, Prabhat, and A. Kitoh Talk and How well can we detect tropical cyclone tracks in the Reanalyses data by Cheng-Ta Chen, T.-P. Tzeng, M. Wehner and Prabhat Talk
11:30 am – Discussion
12:00 pm – Lunch
1:00 pm – High resolution, multi-decadal tropical cyclone simulations using a variable-resolution general circulation model, by Colin M. Zarzycki and C. Jablonowski Talk
1:30 pm – Results from the Community Atmosphere Model CAM5.1, by Michael Wehner, Prabhat, K. Reed, C.-T. Cheng, and D. Stone Talk
2:00 pm – Tropical cyclone research with a global non-hydrostatic model, by Kazuyoshi Oouchi
2:30 pm – Environmental control of tropical cyclone genesis in paleoclimate simulations, by Robert Korty, S.J. Camargo and J. Galewsky Talk
3:00 pm – Coffee Break
3:30pm – Intense precipitation events associated with landfalling storms in a warmer climate, by Enrico Scoccimarro, S. Gualdi, G. Villarini, A. Navarra, and modelers of the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Talk
4:00pm – Sensitivity of tropical cyclone rainfall to different warming scenarios, by D.A. Lavers, Gabriele Villarini, E. Scoccimarro, G.A. Vecchi and modelers of the US CLIVAR Hurricane Working Group Talk
4:30pm – Impact of stratospheric temperature on hurricane intensity: An idealized modeling study, by Shuguang Wang, S.J. Camargo, A.H. Sobel and L.M. Polvani Talk
5:00pm - Discussion
Friday, June 7th
8:30 am – Detection of tropical cyclones using a phenomenon-based cyclone tracking scheme, by M. Horn, Kevin Walsh and A. Ballinger Talk
9:00 am – The sensitivity of hurricane frequency to ITCZ changes and radiatively forced warming in aquaplanet simulations, by Timothy M. Merlis, Ming Zhao, and Isaac M. Held Talk
9:30 am – The impact of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Meridional Mode on Atlantic tropical cyclone activity, by Christina Patricola, R. Saravanan and P. Chang Talk
10:00 am – Coffee Break
10:30 am – How well do global climate models simulate the variability of Atlantic tropical cyclones associated with ENSO? by Hui Wang, L. Long, A. Kumar, W. Wang, and J.-K. E. Schemm Talk
11:00 am – Isentropic analysis of hurricanes, by Agnieszka Mrowiec, O. Pauluis and F. Zhang Talk
11:30 am – Discussion
12:30 pm – End of the workshop