2019 US CLIVAR Summit Agenda

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Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:00

Registration and light breakfast

08:00 Welcome & meeting objectives

Mike Patterson
US CLIVAR Director
Tony Lee
SSC Chair, NASA JPL

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08:30 International CLIVAR update

Annalisa Bracco
CLIVAR SSG Co-chair, Georgia Tech

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09:00 Agency manager engagement

Eric Lindstrom
NASA
Sandy Lucas
NOAA
Xujing Jia Davis
NSF
Renu Joseph
DOE

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09:30

Break

10:00 to 12:00

Special Science Session: Big data and machine learning for climate science
Archived video

Co-chairs: Gudrun Magnisdottir (UC Irvine), Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U), and Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder)

10:00 Introducing a new WG about emerging data science tools relevant to CLIVAR

Michael Pritchard
University of California - Irvine

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10:10 Earth System Modeling 2.0: Toward accurate and actionable climate predictions with quantified uncertainties

Tapio Schneider

California Institute of Technology/NASA JPL

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10:35 Detecting climate signals with machine learning

Elizabeth Barnes
Colorado State University

11:00 Deep learning for pattern recognition in weather and climate science: challenges, breakthroughs, lessons learned and opportunities

Karthik Kashinath
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab

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11:25 Facilitated discussion
12:00

Lunch

13:15

Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agendas below)

15:15

Break

15:30

Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agendas below)

17:00

Break

17:30 to 19:45

Working Dinner/Special Science Session: Observing and understanding the Arctic Ocean: gaps and opportunities
Archived video

Co-chairs: Tony Lee (NASA JPL) and Jamie Morison (U Washington)

17:30 Dinner
17:45 Overview of Arctic Ocean science

Jamie Morison
University of Washington

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18:05 A developing strategy for supporting the Arctic Regional Component of the Global Ocean Observing System

Sandra Starkweather
NOAA ESRL

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18:25 Arctic Ocean satellite observing system

Thomas Armitage
NASA JPL

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18:45 Briefing of CLIVAR/CliC NORP activities

Amy Solomon
NOAA ESRL

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18:55 The Arctic-Subpolar North Atlantic State Estimate (ASTE) - An Overview

Patrick Heimbach
University of Texas - Austin

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19:05 Facilitated discussion
19:45

Adjourn

Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:00

Light breakfast

08:00

Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below)

09:45

Break

10:00

Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below)

12:00

Lunch

13:15 to 15:15

Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting

Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB),  and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M)

13:15 Introduction

Antonietta Capotondi
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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13:25 Overview of the U.S. West Coast Ecosystem Modeling Program: Trends, biogeochemistry, human pressure

Pierre Damien
University of California - Los Angeles

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13:45 Integrating plankton models and observations: implications for ecological forecasting

Jessica Luo
NOAA GFDL

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14:05 Local governments in Santa Barbara County as end users of ecological forecasts for climate adaptation planning

Monique Myers
University of California - San Diego/California Sea Grant

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14:20 Discussion
15:15

Break

15:30

Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below)

17:30

Adjourn

Thursday, August 8, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
07:00

Light breakfast

08:00

Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below)

10:00

Break

10:30 Panel Breakout Reports

Panel Co-chairs

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11:30 Conclusions and next steps

Tony Lee
SSC Chair, NASA JPL

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12:00

Summit adjourns

12:15 to 13:30

SSC Meeting

POS Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
13:15 to 15:15

East Coast sea level rise

Co-chairs: Chris Piecuch (WHOI) and Shane Elipot (U Miami)

13:15 East Coast sea level in the context of the climate system

Ben Hamlington
NASA

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13:35 High tide flooding along the U.S. East Coast

William Sweet
NOAA

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13:55 Panel discussion
15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:00

Uncertainty quantification

Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washington), Shane Elipot (U Miami), Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder), and Sergey Frolov (NRL)

15:30 Quantifying uncertainty in coupled forecasts

Sergey Frolov
Naval Research Laboratory

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15:45 Community whitepaper on uncertainty quantification

David Moroni
NASA JPL

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16:00 The JPL Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) effort

Kerry Cawse-Nicholson
NASA JPL

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16:15 Panel discussion
17:00

Break and return to plenary

Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 09:45

Arctic observing systems

Co-chairs: Jamie Morison (U Washington), Alison Macdonald (WHOI), and Sergey Frolov (NRL)

08:20 Optimal Experimental Design in support of Arctic Ocean observing system design and assessment

Patrick Heimbach
University of Texas - Austin

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08:40 Panel discussion
09:45

Break

10:00 to 12:00

Observing systems

Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washingron), Alison Macdonald (WHOI), and Yolande Serra (U Washington)

10:00 US GOSHIP Review Report

Fred Bingham
University of North Carolina - Wilmington
(Alison Macdonald - available to answer GO-SHIP specific questions)

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10:40 Southern Ocean/SOCCOM Overview and status

Lynne Talley
University of California - San Diego

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11:00 Coupled ocean-atmosphere boundary layer measurements

Carol Anne Clayson
WHOI

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11:20 Panel discussion
12:00

Lunch

13:15 to 15:15

Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting
Joint PSMI, POS, and PPAI Session (see agenda above)

Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M)

15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:30

Biogeochemistry

Co-chairs: Michelle Gierach (Cal Tech/NASA JPL) and Cécile Rousseaux (USRA/NASA Goddard)

15:30 Integration of biology into observing systems: why, how, and when

Frank Muller-Karger
University of South Florida

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15:50 Observation of biogeochemical cycles: Current state, recent advances and remaining challenges

Dave Schimel
NASA JPL
Michelle Gierach presented on behalf of Dave

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16:10 Modeling of biogeochemical cycles: current state, recent advances and remaining challenges

Cécile Rousseaux
Universities Space Research Association/NASA Goddard

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16:30 Panel discussion
17:30

Adjourn

Thursday, August 8, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Panel business

Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washington) and Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder)

08:00 Summary/status of last year's action items
08:20 Upcoming year's action items
08:40 POS Panel priorities and directions
09:00 Panel discussion
10:00

Break and return to plenary

PSMI Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
13:15 to 15:15

Air-sea interaction

Co-chairs: Hyodae Seo (WHOI), Janet Sprintall (UCSD), and Samson Hagos (PNNL)

13:15 Mesoscale and frontal-scale air-sea interactions, physics, diagnostics, and impacts

Hyodae Seo
WHOI

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13:35 Tropical convection and air-sea interactions

Samson Hagos
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

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13:55 Air-sea flux of heat, momentum, and gases: parameterizations and BCG implications

Rachel Stanley
Wellesley College

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14:15 Panel discussion
15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:00

Opportunities and challenges of machine learning for model improvement

Co-chairs: Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U) and Samson Hagos (PNNL)

15:30 Machine learning for Ocean Modelling: parametrizations, numerical algorithms and model error revisited

Laure Zanna
New York University

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15:50 The Cloud Brain v2: Beyond aquaplanets, achieving energy conservation, and probing interprebability using a refined neural network emulator of global cloud superparameterization

Michael Pritchard
University of California - Irvine

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16:10 Panel discussion
17:00

Break and return to plenary

Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 09:45

Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction
First two talks joint PSMI and PPAI

Co-chairs: Amy Butler (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), Charlotte DeMott (CSU), and Janet Sprintall (UCSD)

08:00 Role of the stratosphere in S2S prediction

Amy Butler
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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08:20 The development of the unified prediction system for S2S prediction at GFDL

Baoqiang Xiang
NOAA GFDL

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08:40 Overview on current and emerging developments and needs in S2D prediction (summary from the US CLIVAR international workshop last year)

Bill Merryfield
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis

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09:00 Panel discussion
09:45

Break

10:00 to 12:00

Seasonal-to-Decadal prediction
Joint PSMI and PPAI session

Co-chairs: Liping Zhang (Princeton U/NOAA GFDL) and Antonietta Capotondi (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL)

10:00 Review of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability: Mechanisms and predictability

Antonietta Capotondi
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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10:17 Decadal variability and predictability over the Southern Ocean and implications for interpreting recent observed trends

Liping Zhang
Princeton University/NOAA GFDL

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10:34 Interannual to decadal Earth System Prediction at NCAR

Haiyan Teng
NCAR

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10:50 Planning for US CLIVAR Multi-year prediction workshop

Matt Newman
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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11:00 Panel discussion
12:00

Lunch

13:15 to 15:15

Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting
Joint PSMI, POS, and PPAI Session (see agenda above)

Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M)

15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:30

CMIP6 – progress and improvements

Co-chairs: Amy Butler (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), Antonietta Capotondi (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), and Charlotte DeMott (CSU)

15:30 Rainfall characteristics in CMIP models

Angie Pendergrass
NCAR

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15:50 ENSO simulation in the CESM2

Antonietta Capotondi
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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16:10 The representation of the large scale atmospheric circulation in CESM2 and other CMIP models

Isla Simpson
NCAR

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16:30 Panel discussion
17:30

Adjourn

Thursday, August 8, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Panel Business

Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (UMCES) and Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U)

10:00

Break and return to plenary

PPAI Panel Breakout

Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
13:15 to 15:15

Big data/Artificial intelligence/Machine learning

Co-chairs: Naresh Devineni (CCNY) and Andy Wood (NCAR)

13:15 Applications of machine learning in global precipitation estimation

Soroosh Sorooshian
University of California - Irvine

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13:35 Machine learning models to improve parameterization of climate models

Pierre Gentine
Columbia University

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13:55 Empirical models based on tropical activity for predicting atmospheric rivers and precipitation

Elizabeth Barnes
Colorado State University

14:15 Panel discussion
15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:00

Arctic prediction

Co-chairs: Qinghua Ding (UCSB) and Zhuo Wang (U Illinois)

15:30 Interactions between sea ice and atmosphere: known and unknown

Qinghua Ding
University of California - Santa Barbara

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15:50 Status of Arctic sea ice forecasting: challenges and opportunities

Ed Blanchard
University of Washington

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16:20 Panel discussion
17:00

Break and return to plenary

Wednesday, August 7, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 09:45

Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction
First two talks joint PSMI and PPAI

Co-chairs: Zhuo Wang (U Illinois) and Hailan Wang (NASA LaRC/SSAI)

08:00 Role of the stratosphere in S2S prediction

Amy Butler
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

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08:20 The development of the unified prediction system for S2S prediction at GFDL

Baoqiang Xiang
NOAA GFDL

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08:40 Overview of the WWRP/WCRP S2S Prediction Project and phase II plans

Andy Robertson
Columbia University

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09:00 Panel discussion
09:45

Break

10:00 to 12:00

Seasonal-to-Decadal prediction
Joint PSMI and PPAI session

Co-chairs: Matt Newman (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL) and Haiyan Teng (NCAR)

10:00 Review of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability: Mechanisms and predictability

Antonietta Capotondi
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

Download
10:17 Decadal variability and predictability over the Southern Ocean and implications for interpreting recent observed trends

Liping Zhang
Princeton University/NOAA GFDL

Download
10:34 Interannual to decadal Earth System Prediction at NCAR

Haiyan Teng
NCAR

Download
10:50 Planning for US CLIVAR Multi-year prediction workshop

Matt Newman
University of Colorado/NOAA ESRL

Download
11:00 Panel discussion
12:00

Lunch

13:15 to 15:15

Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting
Joint PSMI, POS, and PPAI Session (see agenda above)

Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M)

15:15

Break

15:30 to 17:30

Climate and Health

Chair: Mona Behl (U Georgia)

15:30 Improving understanding and prediction of vector- and water-borne diseases

Hunter Jones
NOAA

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15:50 A next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for environmental suitability of Aedes-borne disease transmission

Ángel Muñoz
Columbia University

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16:10 Climate extremes and your health

Jesse Bell
University of Nebraska

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16:30 Climate variability and change and health

Kristie Ebi
University of Washington

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16:50 Panel discussion
17:30

Adjourn

Thursday, August 8, 2019
Time Agenda/Abstracts Presenter Presentation
08:00 to 10:00

Panel business

Co-chairs: Andy Wood (NCAR) and Zhuo Wang (U Illinois)

10:00

Break and return to plenary