2019 US CLIVAR Summit Agenda
See Breakout sessions: POS Panel | PSMI Panel | PPAI Panel
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:00 |
Registration and light breakfast |
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08:00 | Welcome & meeting objectives |
Mike Patterson |
Download |
08:30 | International CLIVAR update |
Annalisa Bracco |
Download |
09:00 | Agency manager engagement |
Eric Lindstrom |
Download |
09:30 |
Break |
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10:00 to 12:00 |
Special Science Session: Big data and machine learning for climate science |
Co-chairs: Gudrun Magnisdottir (UC Irvine), Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U), and Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder) |
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10:00 | Introducing a new WG about emerging data science tools relevant to CLIVAR |
Michael Pritchard |
Download |
10:10 | Earth System Modeling 2.0: Toward accurate and actionable climate predictions with quantified uncertainties |
Tapio Schneider California Institute of Technology/NASA JPL |
Download |
10:35 | Detecting climate signals with machine learning |
Elizabeth Barnes |
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11:00 | Deep learning for pattern recognition in weather and climate science: challenges, breakthroughs, lessons learned and opportunities |
Karthik Kashinath |
Download |
11:25 | Facilitated discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agendas below) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Panel breakout sessions (see Panel agendas below) |
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17:00 |
Break |
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17:30 to 19:45 |
Working Dinner/Special Science Session: Observing and understanding the Arctic Ocean: gaps and opportunities |
Co-chairs: Tony Lee (NASA JPL) and Jamie Morison (U Washington) |
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17:30 | Dinner | ||
17:45 | Overview of Arctic Ocean science |
Jamie Morison |
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18:05 | A developing strategy for supporting the Arctic Regional Component of the Global Ocean Observing System |
Sandra Starkweather |
Download |
18:25 | Arctic Ocean satellite observing system |
Thomas Armitage |
Download |
18:45 | Briefing of CLIVAR/CliC NORP activities |
Amy Solomon |
Download |
18:55 | The Arctic-Subpolar North Atlantic State Estimate (ASTE) - An Overview |
Patrick Heimbach |
Download |
19:05 | Facilitated discussion | ||
19:45 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:00 |
Light breakfast |
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08:00 |
Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below) |
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09:45 |
Break |
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10:00 |
Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below) |
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12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting |
Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M) |
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13:15 | Introduction |
Antonietta Capotondi |
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13:25 | Overview of the U.S. West Coast Ecosystem Modeling Program: Trends, biogeochemistry, human pressure |
Pierre Damien |
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13:45 | Integrating plankton models and observations: implications for ecological forecasting |
Jessica Luo |
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14:05 | Local governments in Santa Barbara County as end users of ecological forecasts for climate adaptation planning |
Monique Myers |
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14:20 | Discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 |
Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below) |
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17:30 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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07:00 |
Light breakfast |
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08:00 |
Panel breakout session (see Panel agendas below) |
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10:00 |
Break |
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10:30 | Panel Breakout Reports |
Panel Co-chairs |
Download |
11:30 | Conclusions and next steps |
Tony Lee |
Download |
12:00 |
Summit adjourns |
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12:15 to 13:30 |
SSC Meeting |
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POS Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
East Coast sea level rise |
Co-chairs: Chris Piecuch (WHOI) and Shane Elipot (U Miami) |
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13:15 | East Coast sea level in the context of the climate system |
Ben Hamlington |
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13:35 | High tide flooding along the U.S. East Coast |
William Sweet |
Download |
13:55 | Panel discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:00 |
Uncertainty quantification |
Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washington), Shane Elipot (U Miami), Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder), and Sergey Frolov (NRL) |
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15:30 | Quantifying uncertainty in coupled forecasts |
Sergey Frolov |
Download |
15:45 | Community whitepaper on uncertainty quantification |
David Moroni |
Download |
16:00 | The JPL Verification, Validation, and Uncertainty Quantification (VVUQ) effort |
Kerry Cawse-Nicholson |
Download |
16:15 | Panel discussion | ||
17:00 |
Break and return to plenary |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 09:45 |
Arctic observing systems |
Co-chairs: Jamie Morison (U Washington), Alison Macdonald (WHOI), and Sergey Frolov (NRL) |
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08:20 | Optimal Experimental Design in support of Arctic Ocean observing system design and assessment |
Patrick Heimbach |
Download |
08:40 | Panel discussion | ||
09:45 |
Break |
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10:00 to 12:00 |
Observing systems |
Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washingron), Alison Macdonald (WHOI), and Yolande Serra (U Washington) |
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10:00 | US GOSHIP Review Report |
Fred Bingham |
Download |
10:40 | Southern Ocean/SOCCOM Overview and status |
Lynne Talley |
Download |
11:00 | Coupled ocean-atmosphere boundary layer measurements |
Carol Anne Clayson |
Download |
11:20 | Panel discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting |
Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:30 |
Biogeochemistry |
Co-chairs: Michelle Gierach (Cal Tech/NASA JPL) and Cécile Rousseaux (USRA/NASA Goddard) |
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15:30 | Integration of biology into observing systems: why, how, and when |
Frank Muller-Karger |
Download |
15:50 | Observation of biogeochemical cycles: Current state, recent advances and remaining challenges |
Dave Schimel |
Download |
16:10 | Modeling of biogeochemical cycles: current state, recent advances and remaining challenges |
Cécile Rousseaux |
Download |
16:30 | Panel discussion | ||
17:30 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 10:00 |
Panel business |
Co-chairs: Kyla Drushka (U Washington) and Aneesh Subramanian (CU Boulder) |
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08:00 | Summary/status of last year's action items | ||
08:20 | Upcoming year's action items | ||
08:40 | POS Panel priorities and directions | ||
09:00 | Panel discussion | ||
10:00 |
Break and return to plenary |
PSMI Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Air-sea interaction |
Co-chairs: Hyodae Seo (WHOI), Janet Sprintall (UCSD), and Samson Hagos (PNNL) |
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13:15 | Mesoscale and frontal-scale air-sea interactions, physics, diagnostics, and impacts |
Hyodae Seo |
Download |
13:35 | Tropical convection and air-sea interactions |
Samson Hagos |
Download |
13:55 | Air-sea flux of heat, momentum, and gases: parameterizations and BCG implications |
Rachel Stanley |
Download |
14:15 | Panel discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:00 |
Opportunities and challenges of machine learning for model improvement |
Co-chairs: Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U) and Samson Hagos (PNNL) |
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15:30 | Machine learning for Ocean Modelling: parametrizations, numerical algorithms and model error revisited |
Laure Zanna |
Download |
15:50 | The Cloud Brain v2: Beyond aquaplanets, achieving energy conservation, and probing interprebability using a refined neural network emulator of global cloud superparameterization |
Michael Pritchard |
Download |
16:10 | Panel discussion | ||
17:00 |
Break and return to plenary |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 09:45 |
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction |
Co-chairs: Amy Butler (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), Charlotte DeMott (CSU), and Janet Sprintall (UCSD) |
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08:00 | Role of the stratosphere in S2S prediction |
Amy Butler |
Download |
08:20 | The development of the unified prediction system for S2S prediction at GFDL |
Baoqiang Xiang |
Download |
08:40 | Overview on current and emerging developments and needs in S2D prediction (summary from the US CLIVAR international workshop last year) |
Bill Merryfield |
Download |
09:00 | Panel discussion | ||
09:45 |
Break |
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10:00 to 12:00 |
Seasonal-to-Decadal prediction |
Co-chairs: Liping Zhang (Princeton U/NOAA GFDL) and Antonietta Capotondi (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL) |
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10:00 | Review of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability: Mechanisms and predictability |
Antonietta Capotondi |
Download |
10:17 | Decadal variability and predictability over the Southern Ocean and implications for interpreting recent observed trends |
Liping Zhang |
Download |
10:34 | Interannual to decadal Earth System Prediction at NCAR |
Haiyan Teng |
Download |
10:50 | Planning for US CLIVAR Multi-year prediction workshop |
Matt Newman |
Download |
11:00 | Panel discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting |
Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:30 |
CMIP6 – progress and improvements |
Co-chairs: Amy Butler (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), Antonietta Capotondi (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL), and Charlotte DeMott (CSU) |
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15:30 | Rainfall characteristics in CMIP models |
Angie Pendergrass |
Download |
15:50 | ENSO simulation in the CESM2 |
Antonietta Capotondi |
Download |
16:10 | The representation of the large scale atmospheric circulation in CESM2 and other CMIP models |
Isla Simpson |
Download |
16:30 | Panel discussion | ||
17:30 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 10:00 |
Panel Business |
Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (UMCES) and Kevin Reed (Stony Brook U) |
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10:00 |
Break and return to plenary |
PPAI Panel Breakout
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Big data/Artificial intelligence/Machine learning |
Co-chairs: Naresh Devineni (CCNY) and Andy Wood (NCAR) |
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13:15 | Applications of machine learning in global precipitation estimation |
Soroosh Sorooshian |
Download |
13:35 | Machine learning models to improve parameterization of climate models |
Pierre Gentine |
Download |
13:55 | Empirical models based on tropical activity for predicting atmospheric rivers and precipitation |
Elizabeth Barnes |
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14:15 | Panel discussion | ||
15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:00 |
Arctic prediction |
Co-chairs: Qinghua Ding (UCSB) and Zhuo Wang (U Illinois) |
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15:30 | Interactions between sea ice and atmosphere: known and unknown |
Qinghua Ding |
Download |
15:50 | Status of Arctic sea ice forecasting: challenges and opportunities |
Ed Blanchard |
Download |
16:20 | Panel discussion | ||
17:00 |
Break and return to plenary |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 09:45 |
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction |
Co-chairs: Zhuo Wang (U Illinois) and Hailan Wang (NASA LaRC/SSAI) |
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08:00 | Role of the stratosphere in S2S prediction |
Amy Butler |
Download |
08:20 | The development of the unified prediction system for S2S prediction at GFDL |
Baoqiang Xiang |
Download |
08:40 | Overview of the WWRP/WCRP S2S Prediction Project and phase II plans |
Andy Robertson |
Download |
09:00 | Panel discussion | ||
09:45 |
Break |
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10:00 to 12:00 |
Seasonal-to-Decadal prediction |
Co-chairs: Matt Newman (CU Boulder/NOAA ESRL) and Haiyan Teng (NCAR) |
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10:00 | Review of Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability: Mechanisms and predictability |
Antonietta Capotondi |
Download |
10:17 | Decadal variability and predictability over the Southern Ocean and implications for interpreting recent observed trends |
Liping Zhang |
Download |
10:34 | Interannual to decadal Earth System Prediction at NCAR |
Haiyan Teng |
Download |
10:50 | Planning for US CLIVAR Multi-year prediction workshop |
Matt Newman |
Download |
11:00 | Panel discussion | ||
12:00 |
Lunch |
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13:15 to 15:15 |
Plenary Session: West Coast ecological forecasting |
Co-chairs: Victoria Coles (PSMI, UMCES), Sam Stevenson (POS, UCSB), and John Nielsen-Gammon (PPAI, Texas A&M) |
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15:15 |
Break |
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15:30 to 17:30 |
Climate and Health |
Chair: Mona Behl (U Georgia) |
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15:30 | Improving understanding and prediction of vector- and water-borne diseases |
Hunter Jones |
Download |
15:50 | A next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for environmental suitability of Aedes-borne disease transmission |
Ángel Muñoz |
Download |
16:10 | Climate extremes and your health |
Jesse Bell |
Download |
16:30 | Climate variability and change and health |
Kristie Ebi |
Download |
16:50 | Panel discussion | ||
17:30 |
Adjourn |
Time | Agenda/Abstracts | Presenter | Presentation |
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08:00 to 10:00 |
Panel business |
Co-chairs: Andy Wood (NCAR) and Zhuo Wang (U Illinois) |
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10:00 |
Break and return to plenary |