Arctic Change and Its Influence on Mid-Latitude Climate and Weather Agenda
| Time | Agenda | Presenter | Presentation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 |
Breakfast/registration |
||
| 08:45 | Welcoming remarks |
Xiangdong Zhang and Judah Cohen |
|
| 09:00 to 10:00 |
Session 1: Arctic Mid-latitude Linkages - State of Knowledge |
||
| 09:00 | Keynote lecture | Judah Cohen, Atmospheric and Environmental Research/MIT | Download |
| 10:00 |
Break |
||
| 10:30 to 14:10 |
Session 2: Science Questions - What Happens in the Arctic Stays in the Arctic, or Not? |
||
| 10:30 | What is driving Arctic change: local vs. remote |
Sukyoung Lee, Penn State U. |
Download |
| 11:10 | Linkage between Arctic climate change and mid-latitude extreme climate |
Steve Vavrus, U. Wisconsin |
Download |
| 11:30 | Linkage between Arctic climate change and mid-latitude extreme weather |
Xiangdong Zhang, U. Alaska |
Download |
| 11:50 | Impact of new observations on linkage research: Year of Polar Prediction |
Thomas Jung, Alfred Wegener Institute |
Download |
| 12:10 | Impact of new observations on linkage research - Satellite systems |
Ron Kwok, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory |
|
| 12:30 |
Lunch |
||
| 13:30 | What do we know about surface-atmosphere coupling? |
Jim Overland, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory |
Download |
| 13:50 | What metrics can be used to analyze Arctic/mid-latitude linkages? |
Timo Vihma, Finnish Meteorological Institute |
Download |
| 14:10 to 14:45 |
Lightning Talks Session 1 (1-minute/1-slide) |
||
| 14:45 |
Break |
||
| 15:00 to 16:30 |
Poster Session 1 (Observations and mechanisms) |
||
| 16:30 to 17:30 |
Day 1 Discussion |
| Time | Agenda | Presenter | Presentation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 |
Breakfast/registration |
||
| 08:30 to 10:10 |
Session 3: Testing Ideas Using Modeling Studies of Arctic/Mid-latitude Linkages |
||
| 08:30 | Overview of recent modeling studies of atmospheric response to varying sea ice |
Doug Smith, Met Office Hadley Centre |
Download |
| 08:50 | Relative importance of the Tropics, internal variability, and Arctic amplification on mid-latitude climate and weather |
Arun Kumar, NOAA Climate Prediction Center |
Download |
| 09:10 | What are the different pathways/physical mechanisms that should be targeted for modeling studies? |
Gudrun Magnusdottir, U. California, Irvine |
Download |
| 09:30 | Present vs. future forcing of sea ice loss and Arctic amplification with mid-latitude linkages |
James Screen, U. Exeter |
Download |
| 09:50 | How well do the models simulate Arctic/mid-latitude linage mechanisms and what are the deficiencies? |
John Fyfe, Environment and Climate Change Canada |
Download |
| 10:10 to 10:45 |
Lightning Talks Session 2 (1-minute/1-slide) |
||
| 10:45 |
Break |
||
| 11:00 to 12:30 |
Poster Session 2 (modeling and impacts) |
||
| 12:30 |
Lunch |
||
| 13:30 to 14:30 |
Day 2 Discussion |
||
| 14:30 to 15:00 |
Discussion: Synthesis of overarching science questions |
||
| 15:00 |
Break |
||
| 15:30 to 17:00 |
Breakout Groups |
||
| 15:30 | Group 1: Basic science questions on mechanisms
Chairs: Uma Bhatt and Ignatius Rigor |
||
| 15:30 | Group 2: Basic science questions on mechanisms
Chairs: Dim Coumou and Dorothy Hall |
||
| 15:30 | Group 3: Modeling experiments of Arctic amplification and linkages to mid-latitudes
Chairs: Thomas Jung and Yannick Peings |
||
| 17:00 |
Adjourn |
||
| 18:00 to 20:00 |
Evening Networking Opportunity and event |
| Time | Agenda | Presenter | Presentation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:30 |
Breakfast/registratioin |
||
| 09:00 to 09:45 |
Breakout Group Summaries |
||
| 09:00 | Group 1 Summary |
Uma Bhatt, U. Alaska Fairbanks, and Ignatius Rigor, U. Washington |
Download |
| 09:15 | Group 2 Summary |
Dim Coumou, Postdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, and Dorothy Hall, U. Maryland/NASA GSFC |
Download |
| 09:30 | Group 3 Summary |
Thomas Jung, Alfred-Wegener Institut, and Yannick Peings, U. California Irvine |
Download |
| 09:45 to 10:45 |
Group Discussion |
||
| 10:45 |
Break |
||
| 11:00 to 11:45 |
Group Discussion cont. |
||
| 11:45 | Final Remarks/Next Steps
Chairs: Judah Cohen and Xiangdong Zhang |
||
| 12:00 |
Adjourn |
||
| 13:00 to 15:00 |
Group Writing and Planning Session (optional) |
Poster Presentations
| Poster Title | Author | Affiliation | Presentation |
|---|---|---|---|
| The atmospheric response to the forced removal of sea ice in a present-day climate simulation with EC-EARTH | Olivier Andry | KNMI - Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute | Download |
| Diminished Summer Arctic Sea Ice Linked to North-Central United States Moisture Extremes | Tom Ballinger | Texas State University, Department of Geography | Download |
| Changing Seasonality of Indian Monsoon | Uma Bhatt | Professor, Chair of Atmospheric Sciences, Director of NOAA Cooperative Institute for Alaska Research (CIFAR) | Download |
| The atmospheric response to extratropical ocean warming induced by Arctic sea ice loss | Russell Blackport | University of Exeter | Download |
| Sinuosity of mid-latitude atmospheric flow in a warming world | Julien Cattiaux | CNRM-GAME, Toulouse, France | Download |
| The robustness of mid-latitude weather pattern changes due to Arctic sea ice loss | Hans Chen | The Pennsylvania State University | Download |
| Arctic vs. Tropical Influence on Mid-Latitude Weather over the Period of Arctic Amplification. | Judah Cohen | AER/MIT | Download |
| Arctic sea ice loss and mid-latitude temperature response in coupled and uncoupled CFSv2 model simulations | Thomas Collow | INNOVIM, LLC/ NCEP/NOAA/NWS Climate Prediction Center | Download |
| Atmospheric response to reduced Arctic sea ice cover in coupled and uncoupled simulations of GEOS-5 and numerical analyses | Allison Collow | USRA/NASA GSFC Code 610.1 | Download |
| Understanding Dynamical Links relevant for Extremes using Complex Networks and Machine Learning Algorithms | Dim Coumou | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research / VU Amsterdam | Download |
| The role of downward infrared radiation in the recent Arctic winter warming trend and the subsequent impact on midlatitudes | Steven Feldstein | The Pennsylvania State University | Download |
| Atmospheric circulation responses over Asia to sea-ice loss in the Barents and Kara seas in winter: a perspective revealed from reanalysis and CMIP5 data | Zhe Han | Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Science | Download |
| The linkage between Arctic sea ice changes and mid-latitude atmospheric circulation in reanalysis data and model simulations — The role of synoptic-planetary wave interactions | Dörthe Handorf | Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research - Research Unit Potsdam | Download |
| Circulation Response to Short-Term Arctic Warming | Momme Hell | SIO/UCSD | Download |
| High latitude snow: teleconnections with the tropics | Gina Henderson | U.S. Naval Academy | Download |
| Drivers of Polar Stratospheric Circulation During Recent Low Arctic Sea Ice Years | Martin Hoerling | NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory | Download |
| North Atlantic soon flooded by Arctic freshwater? | Myriel Horn | Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research | Download |
| Influence of Barents-Kara sea-ice reductions on Stratospheric Sudden Warmings | Kazuhira Hoshi | Niigata University | Download |
| Sustainable Arctic observing network for forecasting weather extremes over the mid-latitudes | Jun Inoue | National Institute of Polar Research | Download |
| Relating regional Arctic Sea-Ice and climate extremes over Europe | Monica Ionita | Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research | Download |
| The linkage between Arctic sea ice changes and mid-latitude atmospheric circulation - The role of troposphere-stratosphere coupling | Ralf Jaiser | Alfred-Wegener-Institut | Download |
| Is recent Eurasian winter cooling caused by Arctic sea ice loss? | Hye-Jin Kim | Seoul National University | Download |
| Early prediction of weak stratospheric polar vortex states - using a causal precursor detection scheme | Marlene Kretschmer | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Download |
| Projected Changes in Internal Variability of the Climate System: Annual Mean 2m Temperature and Precipitation | Emerson LaJoie | CPC/NOAA/INNOVIM | Download |
| Linkages between midlatitude humidity and summer amplification of Arctic midtropospheric warming | Frederic Laliberte | Environment and Climate Change Canada | Download |
| The Impact of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Loss on Atmospheric Circulation and the NAO | Peter Langen | Climate and Arctic Research, Danish Meteorological Institute | Download |
| Fully Coupled and Process Resolving Arctic Climate Simulations – Luxury or Necessity? | Wieslaw Maslowski | Naval Postgraduate School | Download |
| The influence of regional Arctic sea-ice loss on the stratosphere, and mid-latitude weather and climate | Christine McKenna | British Antarctic Survey / University of Cambridge | Download |
| Combined influence of snow cover and sea ice on North African/Mediterranean precipitation | Sonja Molnos | Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research | Download |
| The December 2015 North Pole Warming Event and the Increasing Occurrence of Such Events | Kent Moore | Department of Physics, University of Toronto | Download |
| Remote effects of ocean thermal condition on seasonal predictability of sea ice area in the Barents and Bering Seas | Takuya Nakanowatari | National Institute of Polar Research | Download |
| Impacts of sea ice / SST changes for the observed climate change -GREENICE project- | Fumiaki Ogawa | University of Bergen and Bjerknes Center for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway | Download |
| Changes in the mid-latitude atmosphere dynamics in the CESM-LENS simulations | Yannick Peings | UC Irvine | Download |
| CHANGING TEMPERATURE GRADIENTS LINKED TO HOLOCENE MOISTURE TRENDS IN THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE | Cody Routson | Northern Arizona University | Download |
| Mid-Latitude Climate Change: The impacts of Arctic Amplification on the jet stream, atmospheric blocking, and teleconnections | Julie Sanchez | Penn State | Download |
| Simulated Atmospheric Response to Regional and Pan-Arctic Sea Ice Loss | James Screen | University of Exeter | Download |
| Numerical modeling studies on the influence of the Arctic on the atmospheric large-scale circulation of the Northern mid-latitudes | Tido Semmler | Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research | Download |
| Recent Amplification of the North American Winter Temperature Dipole | Deepti Singh | Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory | Download |
| Atmospheric response to Arctic sea ice: the importance of the background state | Doug Smith | Met Office | Download |
| The Process of Amplified Arctic Warming: Influence on Arctic-Mid Latitude Connection in Climate Models? | Patrick Taylor | NASA Langley Research Center | Download |
| Persistent shift of the Arctic polar vortex towards the Eurasian continent in recent decades | Wenshou Tian | College of Atmospheric Sciences, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou,China | Download |
| Changes in North American Atmospheric Circulation and Extreme Weather: Evidence of an Arctic Connection | Steve Vavrus | University of Wisconsin | Download |
| Effects of spring Earth surface temperature anomalies on summer 2-m air temperature | Timo Vihma | Finnish Meteorological Institute | Download |
| Intra-seasonal Periodicity Behavior of Finite-amplitude Wave Activity in the Mid- latitude Troposphere | Lei Wang | The University of Chicago | Download |
| Far-Fields Causes of Eastern North American Cold Winters | Muyin Wang | University of Washington | Download |
| A Potential Method to Evaluate the Relative Contribution of Arctic Sea Ice Loss to Mid-Latitude Climate in CESM Large Ensemble Project | Fuyao Wang | Nelson Institute Center for Climatic Research | Download |
| Accelerated increase in Arctic tropospheric warming surpassing stratospheric warming | Simon Wang | Utah State University | Download |
| Changes in Northern Hemisphere Winter Storm Tracks under the Background of Arctic Amplification | Jiabao Wang | School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, USA | Download |
| ArctiC Amplification: Climate Relevant Atmospheric and SurfaCe Processes and Feedback Mechanisms (AC)³ | Manfred Wendisch | Leipzig Institute for Meteorology, Uni Leipzig, Germany | Download |
| Prolonged effect of the stratospheric pathway in linking Barents-Kara Sea sea ice variability to the midlatitude circulation in a simplified model | Yutian Wu | Purdue University | Download |
| Suppressed mid-latitude summer atmospheric warming by Arctic sea ice loss during 1979-2012 | Qigang Wu | School of Atmospheric Sciences Nanjing University, China | Download |
| Response of Northern Hemisphere Storm Activity to Tropical Pacific SST and Arctic Sea Ice Forcing: Modeling Investigations | Xiangdong Zhang | International Arctic Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks | Download |