US AMOC/U.K. RAPID Science Meeting: AMOC Variability: Dynamics and Impacts Agenda
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Annapolis, MD
Meeting Agenda
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July 16 July 17 July 18 July 19
Tuesday, July 16
| 2nd Floor East Foyer | |
| 08:30 | Registration/Check In |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| 10:30 | Meeting Begins - Introduction |
| (meeting goals, logistics, etc.) | |
| Session 1. Observations and Dynamics of Seasonal to Interannual Timescales | |
| 10:40 | Gerard McCarthy (invited speaker) |
| Results from the 26ºN Array Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:10 | Monika Rhein |
| Measurements of AMOC components in the subpolar North Atlantic Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:30 | LuAnne Thompson |
| Predicting surface heat flux with ocean heat content anomalies in the North Atlantic Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:50 | Christopher Meinen |
| Meridional overturning estimates using pilot array data at 34.5°S in the Atlantic Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:10 | Elaine McDonagh |
| Oceanic fluxes of freshwater across 26°N Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:30 | Lunch (on your own) |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 1. Continued | |
| 14:00 | Steve Yeager (invited speaker) |
| The dynamics of historical AMOC variability Abstract - Presentation not available | |
| 14:30 | Stuart Cunningham |
| Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown causes widespread cooling in the Atlantic Abstract - Slides | |
| 14:50 | Adam Blaker |
| Historical analogues to the recently observed minima in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation Abstract - Slides | |
| 15:10 | Jian Zhao |
| Interannual wind forced variability of the AMOC at 26.5°N Abstract - Slides not available | |
| 15:30 | Coffee break |
| 16:00 | Shane Elipot |
| The wind stress drives the coherence of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on seasonal and annual time scales Abstract - Slides | |
| 16:20 | Renellys Perez |
| The sensitivity of the MOC and MHT seasonal cycle to wind forcing Abstract - Slides | |
| 16:40 | Thomas Rossby |
| On the spatial structure and temporal variability of poleward transport between Scotland and Greenland Abstract - Slides | |
| 17:00 | Louis Clement |
| On the effect of eddies and Rossby waves on the Meridional Overturning Circulation Abstract - Slides | |
| Key Ballroom 11 & 12 | |
| 17:20 | Poster Session 1 |
| 2nd Floor South Foyer | |
| 18:00 | All Posters Working Session |
| (back to top) | |
Wednesday, July 17 | |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 1. Continued | |
| 08:40 | Martha Buckley |
| Examining the relationship between low-frequency SST and AMOC variability Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:00 | Gokhan Danabasoglu |
| An assessment of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (CORE-II) Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:20 | Jeremy Grist |
| The surface-forced overturning of the North Atlantic: Estimates from modern era atmospheric reanalysis datasets Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:40 | Silvia Garzoli |
| The fate of the Atlantic Deep Western Boundary Current Abstract - Slides | |
| 10:00 | C.K. Shum |
| Decadal evolution of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Abstract - Presentation not available at this time | |
| 10:20 | Coffee break |
| |
| Session 2. Observations and Dynamics of Decadal to Multi-Centennial Timescales | |
| 10:50 | Delia Oppo (invited speaker) |
| The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: A perspective from paleo archives Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:20 | David Thornalley |
| Ocean and atmosphere changes in the North Atlantic over the last millennium Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:40 | Hali Killbourne |
| A paleoclimate perspective on Atlantic Multidecadal Variability Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:00 | Aixue Hu |
| Effects of the Bering Strait closure on AMOC and global climate under different background climates Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:20 | Lunch (on your own) |
| 14:00 | Rym Msadek (invited speaker) |
| Role of the AMOC as a source of predictive skill on decadal time scales in the GFDL coupled model: promises and limitations Abstract - Presentation not available online (email author for information rym.msadek@noaa.gov) | |
| 14:30 | Grant Branstator |
| Is AMOC more predictable than North Atlantic heat content? Abstract - Slides | |
| 14:50 | Jon Robson |
| Decadal predictions of the cooling of the North Atlantic in the 1960s Abstract - Slides | |
| 15:10 | Mojib Latif |
| Dynamics of Southern Ocean centennial variability and AMOC impact Abstract - Slides | |
| Key Ballroom 11 & 12 | |
| 15:30 | Poster Session 2 |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 2. Continued | |
| 17:00 | Matthew Menary |
| North Atlantic internal decadal variability in HadGEM3 Abstract - Slides | |
| 17:20 | Yohan Ruprich-Robert |
| Importance of the seasonality of the ocean- atmosphere relationship to produce multidecadal natural AMV/AMOC variability Abstract - Slides | |
| 17:40 | Jennifer Mecking |
| On the stochastic null hypothesis for Atlantic multi-decadal variability Abstract - Slides | |
| 18:00 | End of Day 2 |
| 18:00 | U.S. AMOC Executive Meeting (by invitation - 3rd Floor Brent Conference Room) |
| (back to top) | |
Thursday, July 18 | |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 2. Continued | |
| 08:30 | Sybern Drijfhout: (invited speaker) |
| Is there a useful indicator for thresholds in the AMOC? Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:00 | Laura Jackson |
| Sea surface temperature and sub-surface density fingerprints of the AMOC in CMIP5 models Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:20 | Wilbert Weijer |
| Agulhas Leakage and its impact on the AMOC in the CCSM4 Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:40 | Rong Zhang |
| Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability? Abstract - Slides | |
| 10:00 | Daniel Williamson |
| Structural biases affecting the AMOC? Abstract - Slides | |
| 10:20 | Coffee break |
| 10:50 | Wei Cheng (invited speaker) |
| The AMOC in CMIP5 models: RCP and historical simulations Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:20 | Alexey Fedorov |
| The interdecadal AMOC mode related to westward propagation of temperature anomalies – in theory and in CMIP5 models Abstract - Slides | |
| 11:40 | Jinting Zhang |
| The coherence of Atlantic meridional heat transport in climate models Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:00 | Thierry Penduff |
| Interannual-to-multidecadal AMOC variability: the intrinsic component Abstract - Slides | |
| 12:20 | Lunch (on your own) |
| Session 3. Climate Impacts | |
| 13:50 | Jianjun Yin (invited speaker) |
| Signature of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in the North Atlantic dynamic sea level Abstract - Slides | |
| 14:20 | Tal Ezer |
| On the impact of the AMOC on sea level rise: new evidence that a slowdown of the Gulf Stream is responsible for accelerating sea level rise along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast Abstract - Slides | |
| 14:40 | Peter Challenor |
| Estimating the risk of collapse of the AMOC Abstract - Slides | |
| 15:00 | Joseph Park |
| AMO influences on coastal water levels and extremes Abstract - Slides | |
| Key Ballroom 11 & 12 | |
| 15:20 | Poster Session 3 |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 3. Continued | |
| 16:30 | Yochanan Kushnir (invited speaker) |
| Climatic impacts of long-term North Atlantic SST Variability: Observational evidence and model support Abstract - Slides | |
| 17:00 | Thomas Delworth |
| Hemispheric-scale impacts of centennial-scale AMOC variations in the GFDL CM2.5 high-resolution coupled model Abstract - Presentation not available at this time | |
| 17:20 | Claude Frankignoul |
| The influence of the AMOC variability on the atmosphere in CCSM4 Abstract - Slides | |
| 17:40 | Guillaume Gastineau |
| The influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the observed Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation Abstract - Slides | |
| 18:00 | End of Day 3 |
| (back to top) | |
Friday, July 19 | |
| Key Ballroom 8 | |
| Session 3. Continued | |
| 08:30 | Ric Williams (invited speaker) |
| Climate effects of ocean overturning on heat content anomalies and atmospheric CO2 Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:00 | Andreas Schmittner |
| Impacts of AMOC changes on ocean biogeochemistry and atmospheric greenhouse gases inferred from paleoclimate data and modeling Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:20 | Feili Li |
| The variability of deep ocean convection and Subpolar Gyre in the North Atlantic Abstract - Slides | |
| 09:40 | Lesley Allison |
| An event-based approach to understanding decadal-scale variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and associated climate impacts Abstract - Slides | |
| 10:00 | Coffee break |
| 10:30 | Eric Lindstrom Meric Srokosz |
| Updates & perspectives from funding agencies | |
| 10:50 | David Marshall Slides |
| Observations and dynamics of seasonal to interannual timescales - perspectives and future challenges | |
| 11:15 | Laurent Terray Slides |
| Observations and dynamics of decadal to multi-centennial timescales - perspectives and future challenges | |
| 11:40 | Mingfang Ting Slides |
| Climate impacts - perspectives and future challenges | |
| 12:05 | Stuart Cunningham |
| Discussion of future challenges | |
| Closing remarks | |
| 12:30 | Meeting Adjourns |
| (back to top) | |
