US AMOC/U.K. RAPID Science Meeting: AMOC Variability: Dynamics and Impacts Agenda

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Annapolis, MD

Meeting Agenda

 

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July 16                   July 17                  July 18                   July 19

 

Tuesday, July 16

2nd Floor East Foyer
08:30 Registration/Check In
   
Key Ballroom 8
10:30 Meeting Begins - Introduction
  (meeting goals, logistics, etc.)
 
Session 1.  Observations and Dynamics of Seasonal to Interannual Timescales
10:40 Gerard McCarthy (invited speaker)
  Results from the 26ºN Array  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:10 Monika Rhein
  Measurements of AMOC components in the subpolar North Atlantic  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:30 LuAnne Thompson
  Predicting surface heat flux with ocean heat content anomalies in the North Atlantic  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:50 Christopher Meinen
  Meridional overturning estimates using pilot array data at 34.5°S in the Atlantic  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:10 Elaine McDonagh
  Oceanic fluxes of freshwater across 26°N  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:30 Lunch (on your own)
   
Key Ballroom 8
Session 1.  Continued
14:00 Steve Yeager (invited speaker)
  The dynamics of historical AMOC variability pdf icon small Abstract - Presentation not available
   
14:30 Stuart Cunningham
  Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation slowdown causes widespread cooling in the Atlantic pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
14:50 Adam Blaker
  Historical analogues to the recently observed minima in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
15:10 Jian Zhao
  Interannual wind forced variability of the AMOC at 26.5°N  pdf icon small Abstract - Slides not available
   
15:30 Coffee break
   
16:00 Shane Elipot
  The wind stress drives the coherence of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on seasonal and annual time scales   pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
16:20 Renellys Perez
  The sensitivity of the MOC and MHT seasonal cycle to wind forcing pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
16:40 Thomas Rossby
  On the spatial structure and temporal variability of poleward transport between Scotland and Greenland pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
17:00 Louis Clement
  On the effect of eddies and Rossby waves on the Meridional Overturning Circulation pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
Key Ballroom 11 & 12
17:20 Poster Session 1
   
2nd Floor South Foyer
18:00 All Posters Working Session
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Wednesday, July 17

Key Ballroom 8
Session 1. Continued
08:40 Martha Buckley
  Examining the relationship between low-frequency SST and AMOC variability pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:00 Gokhan Danabasoglu
  An assessment of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments (CORE-II) pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:20 Jeremy Grist
  The surface-forced overturning of the North Atlantic: Estimates from modern era atmospheric reanalysis datasets pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:40 Silvia Garzoli
  The fate of the Atlantic Deep Western Boundary Current  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
10:00 C.K. Shum
  Decadal evolution of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation  pdf icon small Abstract - Presentation not available at this time
   
10:20 Coffee break
 

 

Session 2. Observations and Dynamics of Decadal to Multi-Centennial Timescales
10:50 Delia Oppo (invited speaker)
  The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: A perspective from paleo archives pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:20 David Thornalley
  Ocean and atmosphere changes in the North Atlantic over the last millennium  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:40 Hali Killbourne
  A paleoclimate perspective on Atlantic Multidecadal Variability pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:00 Aixue Hu
  Effects of the Bering Strait closure on AMOC and global climate under different background climates  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:20 Lunch (on your own)
   
14:00 Rym Msadek (invited speaker)
  Role of the AMOC as a source of predictive skill on decadal time scales in the GFDL coupled model: promises and limitations  pdf icon small Abstract - Presentation not available online (email author for information rym.msadek@noaa.gov)
   
14:30 Grant Branstator
  Is AMOC more predictable than North Atlantic heat content? pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
14:50 Jon Robson
  Decadal predictions of the cooling of the North Atlantic in the 1960s pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
15:10 Mojib Latif
  Dynamics of Southern Ocean centennial variability and AMOC impact pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
Key Ballroom 11 & 12
15:30 Poster Session 2
   
Key Ballroom 8
Session 2. Continued
17:00 Matthew Menary
  North Atlantic internal decadal variability in HadGEM3 pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
17:20 Yohan Ruprich-Robert
  Importance of the seasonality of the ocean- atmosphere relationship to produce multidecadal natural AMV/AMOC variability pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
17:40 Jennifer Mecking
  On the stochastic null hypothesis for Atlantic multi-decadal variability pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
18:00 End of Day 2
   
18:00 U.S. AMOC Executive Meeting (by invitation - 3rd Floor Brent Conference Room)
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Thursday, July 18

Key Ballroom 8
Session 2. Continued 
08:30 Sybern Drijfhout: (invited speaker)
  Is there a useful indicator for thresholds in the AMOC? pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:00 Laura Jackson
  Sea surface temperature and sub-surface density fingerprints of the AMOC in CMIP5 models pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:20 Wilbert Weijer
  Agulhas Leakage and its impact on the AMOC in the CCSM4 pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:40 Rong Zhang
  Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic Multidecadal Variability?  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
10:00  Daniel Williamson
  Structural biases affecting the AMOC?  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
10:20 Coffee break
   
10:50 Wei Cheng (invited speaker)
  The AMOC in CMIP5 models: RCP and historical simulations  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:20 Alexey Fedorov
  The interdecadal AMOC mode related to westward propagation of temperature anomalies – in theory and in CMIP5 models  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
11:40 Jinting Zhang
  The coherence of Atlantic meridional heat transport in climate models pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:00 Thierry Penduff
  Interannual-to-multidecadal AMOC variability: the intrinsic component  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
12:20 Lunch (on your own)
   
Session 3. Climate Impacts
13:50 Jianjun Yin (invited speaker)
  Signature of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in the North Atlantic dynamic sea level  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
14:20 Tal Ezer
  On the impact of the AMOC on sea level rise: new evidence that a slowdown of the Gulf Stream is responsible for accelerating sea level rise along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
14:40 Peter Challenor
  Estimating the risk of collapse of the AMOC pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
15:00 Joseph Park
  AMO influences on coastal water levels and extremes pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
Key Ballroom 11 & 12
15:20 Poster Session 3
   
Key Ballroom 8
Session 3. Continued
16:30 Yochanan Kushnir (invited speaker)
  Climatic impacts of long-term North Atlantic SST Variability: Observational evidence and model support pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
17:00 Thomas Delworth
  Hemispheric-scale impacts of centennial-scale AMOC variations in the GFDL CM2.5 high-resolution coupled model  pdf icon small Abstract - Presentation not available at this time
   
17:20 Claude Frankignoul
  The influence of the AMOC variability on the atmosphere in CCSM4  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
17:40 Guillaume Gastineau
  The influence of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on the observed Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
18:00 End of Day 3
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Friday, July 19

Key Ballroom 8
Session 3. Continued
08:30 Ric Williams (invited speaker)
  Climate effects of ocean overturning on heat content anomalies and atmospheric CO2pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:00 Andreas Schmittner
  Impacts of AMOC changes on ocean biogeochemistry and atmospheric greenhouse gases inferred from paleoclimate data and modeling pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:20 Feili Li
  The variability of deep ocean convection and Subpolar Gyre in the North Atlantic pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
09:40 Lesley Allison
  An event-based approach to understanding decadal-scale variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and associated climate impacts pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Slides
   
10:00 Coffee break
   
10:30

Eric Lindstrom pdf icon small Slides

Meric Srokosz pdf icon small Slides

  Updates & perspectives from funding agencies
   
10:50 David Marshall pdf icon small Slides
  Observations and dynamics of seasonal to interannual timescales - perspectives and future challenges
   
11:15 Laurent Terray pdf icon small Slides  
  Observations and dynamics of decadal to multi-centennial timescales - perspectives and future challenges
   
11:40 Mingfang Ting pdf icon small  Slides
  Climate impacts - perspectives and future challenges
   
12:05 Stuart Cunningham
  Discussion of future challenges
  Closing remarks
   
12:30 Meeting Adjourns
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Poster Session 1Observations and Dynamics of Seasonal to Interannual Timescales

Tuesday, July 16

17:20 – 18:00

Key Ballroom 11 & 12

 
   

Magdalena Andres

Boundary currents’ responses to remote forcing: observations from the North Atlantic Line W and the North Pacific PN-line  pdf icon small

Adam Blaker

Large near-inertial oscillations of the Atlantic MOC  pdf icon small

Amy Bower

A first look at AMOC branches through the Charlie-Gibbs Fracture Zone from a two-year moored array  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Martha Buckley

Examining the relationship between low-frequency SST and AMOC variability  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Edmo Campos

Developing an observing array for monitoring meridional fluxes in the Southwest Atlantic  pdf icon small

Beth Curry

Observational study of Davis Strait transports  pdf icon small

Ruth Curry

Results from the Dynamics of Abyssal Mixing and Interior Transports Experiment (DynAMITE)  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Ruth Curry

Line W: A continuing record of Deep Western Boundary Current measurements south of New England  

Femke de Jong

Two years of observations of warm core anticyclones in the Labrador Sea and  their seasonal cycle in heat and salt stratification  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Matthias Fischer

Changes of the AMOC seasonal cycle in MPI-ESM CMIP5 climate projections  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Eleanor Frajka-Williams

Variability of the DWBC at 26 deg N from in situ observations and satellite measurements  pdf icon small

Will Hobbs

The annual cycle of AMOC transport at 41N  pdf icon small

Jong Kim

Sensitivity analysis of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation through the POP Tangent Linear and Adjoint Models  pdf icon small

David Marshall

Attribution of midlatitude AMOC variations to surface wind, heat and freshwater forcing  pdf icon small

Charlotte Mielke

Contribution of the DWBC to the AMOC variability at 26N and line W in a high resolution model  pdf icon small

Ben Moat

Improvements to the method used to calculate the MOC using data from the 26ºN array  pdf icon small Abstract - logo for jpg file Poster

Jon Robson

The importance of wind and buoyancy forcing for the boundary density variations and the geostrophic component of the AMOC at 26N  pdf icon small

Jon Robson

Predictability of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic in the mid 1990s and its climate impacts  pdf icon small

Zoltan Szuts

Salinity transport through the Florida Straits  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Virginie Thierry

The Meridional Overturning Circulation north of the AR7W and A25-Ovide lines in recent decades  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Maria Valdivieso

Atlantic Ocean freshwater transport in a global ocean eddy-permitting reanalysis  pdf icon small

Ric Williams

North Atlantic sea level, heat content and MOC variability over the last 60 years estimated from hydrographic data  pdf icon small

Xiaobiao Xu

On the transports connected with the AMOC in the subpolar North Atlantic  pdf icon small

Jiayan Yang

Wind-driven variability of the Nordic Seas Overflow and its impact on AMOC  pdf icon small

Jian Zhao

Wind driven seasonal cycle of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation  pdf icon small

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Poster Session 2. Observations and Dynamics of Decadal to Multi-Centennial Timescales

Wednesday, July 17

15:30 – 17:00

Key Ballroom 11 & 12

   

Adam Blaker

Characteristics and variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in the RAPIT climate model ensemble  pdf icon small

Yanni Ding

AMOC Responses to Volcanic Eruptions in CMIP5 simulations  pdf icon small

Paul Gierz

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation stability influenced by the melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet under various warming scenarios  pdf icon small

Sirpa Hakkinen

Northern North Atlantic sea-surface height and ocean heat content variability  pdf icon small

Bohua Huang

Multidecadal oscillation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in CMIP5 models  pdf icon small Abstract - pdf icon small Poster

Laura Jackson

The advective feedback on the AMOC in GCMs  pdf icon small

Who Kim

Long-term AMOC changes in NCAR ocean/sea ice and community climate system model twentieth century climate simulations  pdf icon small

Douglas MacMartin

Frequency domain analysis of AMOC variability mechanisms  pdf icon small

Jennifer Mecking

Multi-model comparison for Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability  pdf icon small

Matthew Menary

Mechanisms of aerosol-forced AMOC variability in a state of the art climate model  pdf icon small

Les Muir

How well does the Atlantic SST dipole index represent AMOC variability on decadal to centennial timescales?  pdf icon small

Jon Robson

The Value Of the RAPID array for climate predictions (VALOR)  pdf icon small

Liping Zhang

Role of Atlantic Warm Pool-induced freshwater forcing in the AMOC  pdf icon small

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Poster Session 3Climate Impacts

Thursday, July 18

15:20 – 16:30

Key Ballroom 11 & 12 
   

Paola Cessi

Salt feedbacks in the quasi-adabatic overturning circulation  pdf icon small

Victoria Coles

Biogeochemical and freshwater impacts on the tropical and subtropical Atlantic due to Amazon River plume variability  pdf icon small

Ines Höschel

The influence of decadal variability in North Atlantic sea surface temperature on climate extremes  pdf icon small

Young-Heon Jo

Nonlinear sea level trends in the Atlantic Ocean  pdf icon small

Craig Lee

Autonomous Studies of Coupled Physical-Biogeochemical Processes-  Lessons from NAB08 and Prospects for the Future  pdf icon small

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