Climate Variability and Predictability Program
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A conceptual model for studying century-to-millennia timescale processes in the coupled ocean-atmosphere system
A new conceptual model of global ocean heat uptake and transient climate response
A non-ENSO-like pattern of low-frequency internal variability in the tropical Pacific simulated by virtually all coupled models since CMIP3
A relationship between surface flux biases and the double ITCZ bias in climate models
A spectral explanation of clear-sky longwave feedback over tropical ocean
Accounting for Uncertainty of Projected Sea Surface Temperature Patterns in Coupled Global Circulation Models
Alternative historical realizations of tropical sea surface temperature and their influence on regional and global climate
An easy and effective way to diagnose equilibrium climate sensitivity
Analyzing the Unforced Pattern Effect Using a Modified Energy Balance Framework
Antarctic ice-sheet meltwater drives lower effective climate sensitivity through the pattern effect
Anthropogenically forced wind driven ocean redistribution of heat leads to increased warming over the historical period
Are observed SST trends in the tropical Pacific externally forced? Insights from single forcing large ensembles
Attribution of the SST and OHU changes using a partial coupling approach
Cause of the intense tropics-wide tropospheric warming during El Nino events
Climate sensitivity with a time dependent climate feedback parameter
Cloud and surface albedo feedbacks reshape 21st-Century warming in successive generations of an Earth System Model
Cloud feedback depends on Southern Ocean salinity
Connecting warming patterns of the paleo-ocean to our future
Constraints on the Pattern Effect Using Observations: A Low Cloud Feedback Perspective
Contrasting observed atmospheric responses to tropical SST warming patterns
Coupled climate models systematically underestimate radiation response to surface warming
Decadal Variability of ENSO and its North American Teleconnections over the Last Millennium: new insights from paleoclimate data assimilation
Delineating local coupled feedbacks and remote drivers using a Green’s function approach in the coupled climate system
Dependence of pattern effect estimates on the reconstructed SST
Discussion: is the paleo climate pattern effect a ‘red herring’?
Does Disabling Cloud Radiative Feedbacks Change Spatial Patterns of Surface Greenhouse Warming and Cooling?
Dynamics for El Nino-La Nina asymmetry constrain equatorial-Pacific warming pattern
Emergent constraints on climate sensitivity based on recent warming are biased low by sea-surface temperature pattern effects
Examining processes setting the sea surface salinity pattern under anthropogenic forcing and relationships to sea surface temperature
Examining state dependence of the cloud feedback using a perturbed parameter ensemble
Exploring Model Spread of Surface Warming Pattern in LongRunMIP
Extratropical cloud feedback in the context of the hydrological cycle and large-scale circulation
Feedbacks, climate sensitivity and polar amplification insights from volcanic eruptions in model large ensembles
Forced and unforced pattern effects in the climate feedback in MIROC6
Identifying predictable sea surface temperature patterns by incorporating uncertainty into regression neural networks
Impact of Climate Variability on Hydrological Extremes over the Mississippi River Basin during the Last Millennium
Inability of Tropical Pacific Temperature Gradients in Explaining Observed TOA Radiation Trends
Inconsistancy in the calculation of the time dependent climate feedback parameter
Incorporating nonlinearities into the climate forcing & feedback framework
Influence of Forcing Strength on Estimates of ECS in GFDL CM4
Internal variability influences model-satellite differences in the rate of tropical tropospheric warming
Interpreting Differences in Radiative Feedbacks from Aerosols Versus Greenhouse Gases
Investigating the spread in cloud-radiative feedbacks in a perturbed physics ensemble
Is the forced response of precipitation timescale-dependent?
Isotopic fingerprints of early Pliocene-like sea surface temperature gradients
Non-monotonic feedback dependence on CO2 due to a North Atlantic pattern effect
Northern Indian Ocean SST Gradients and Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations
Observational constraints on climate sensitivity derived from the 1971-2017 global energy budget
On Climate Feedback Change and AMOC
On the effect of historical SST patterns on radiative feedback
Prediction challenges associated with errors in linear trends of tropical Pacific sea surface temperature
Projections of the Transient State-Dependency of Climate Feedbacks
Quantifying the pattern effect for a climate model emulator
SST Green's Functions for Regional Precipitation
Stronger cooling response to the aerosol indirect effect
Subtropical Clouds Key to Southern Ocean Teleconnection to the Tropical Pacific
Symmetric and antisymmetric components of polar-amplified warming
Systematic climate model biases in the large-scale pattern of sea-surface temperature and sea-level pressure change
Temporal variations in hydrological sensitivity
The El Nino–Southern Oscillation Pattern Effect
The Last Glacial Maximum Pattern Effect
The pattern effect impact on observationally-constrained warming projections
The relative importance of ocean and atmosphere response to forcing in determining SST change patterns
The relative roles of feedbacks, forcing, and effective heat capacity for higher transient warming in CMIP6 compared to CMIP5
The remote impact of Southern Ocean surface warming and cooling
The Role of Clouds in Shaping Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Pattern in Response to Extratropical Forcing
The role of ocean in modifying SST pattern formation and time-evolving radiative feedback
The varying Earth's radiative feedback connected to the ocean energy uptake: a theoretical perspective from conceptual frameworks
Three Flavors of Radiative Feedbacks and Thoughts on the Relevance of the Southern Ocean
Towards a role for anthropogenic aerosols in the pattern effect?(???)
Tropical Climate Responses to Variations in Turbulent Drag
Tropical Pacific boreal spring warming forced by strong Aleutian Low
Two-stage Tropical SST Responses to Extratropical Radiative Forcing
Uncertainty in projected tropical Pacific SST trends important for winter North Pacific atmospheric circulation
Using a Green’s Function Approach to Diagnose the Pattern Effect in GFDL AM4 and CM4
Using the Interhemispheric Asymmetry of Warming to Constrain ECS
Volcanic aerosol strongly cools the warm pool, and therefore produces strong feedback
Weakening of large-scale tropical circulation for different SST pattern in CMIP6
“Simpson’s Law” and the Spectral Cancellation of Climate Feedbacks